Ried vs Wolfsberger AC Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Ried 4-1 Wolfsberger AC.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Ried, 28% draw, 25% Wolfsberger AC — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ried at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
Line-ups
- 1A. LeitnerG
- 5D. RadonjicD
- 28S. ChukwudiD
- 30O. SteurerD
- 8M. RasnerM
- 6Y. MaartM
- 22S. SchwabM
- 17P. PomerM
- 12A. BajićM
- 11J. RhodesM
- 47Evan Eghosa AisowierenF
- 33A. GoigingerD
- 92I. Kiese ThelinF
- 21T. KusanovicF
- 19T. Lund JensenM
- 4L. MalicsekD
- 9N. SissokoF
- 7O. SorgD
- 77F. WimmerG
- 15J. BoguoF
- 1L. GütlbauerG
- 6R. BehounekD
- 8S. PiesingerD
- 35Matteo KitzD
- 31F. WohlmuthM
- 19O. MamageishviliM
- 30M. SulznerM
- 36D. FitzM
- 77R. RennerM
- 23P. VerhounigF
- 32M. PinkF
- 11A. SchwarzM
- 20T. SchrieblM
- 17Marco SchabauerM
- 49S. KaramokoF
- 7L. HasslerM
- 12L. GliklichG
- 10D. AvdijajM
- 34E. AgyemangM
- 70David ĐurićD
Form going into Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
Ried
Bundesliga
- D1-1Red Bull Salzburg11 September 2026
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
- L0-3Rapid Vienna12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ried | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
- 19 May 2026Ried 2–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 9 May 2026Ried 0–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 11 April 2026Wolfsberger AC 0–0 RiedBundesliga
- 29 November 2025Ried 1–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 18 October 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–2 RiedBundesliga
Leading scorers: Ried and Wolfsberger AC
Ried
GoalsAssists
- P. Pomer41
- S. Schwab41
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ried beat Wolfsberger AC 4–1. The model had made a win for Ried its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ante Bajic 3' for Ried, Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 9' for Ried, Stefan Schwab (penalty) 40' for Ried, Isaac Thelin 81' for Ried, Matteo Kitz 87' for Wolfsberger AC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.