TS Galaxy
vs
Chippa United
Premier Soccer League prediction
Our model says: TS Galaxy 1–0 Chippa United
The model makes it 38% TS Galaxy, 32% draw, 30% Chippa United — fair odds of 2.63, 3.13 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (14%).
Expected goals: TS Galaxy 1.17, Chippa United 0.91.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%, under 2.5: 65%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: TS Galaxy vs Chippa United
Every scoreline the model considered
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell is one exact result, shaded against the likeliest one; figures below 1% are left blank rather than rounded to zero. Blue cells are TS Galaxy wins, grey are draws, red are Chippa United wins — the three shaded areas ARE the 1/X/2 split above, which is the sum of the cells in each. The most likely scoreline is simply the darkest cell inside whichever area the model favours.
Has the model earned this number?
It puts TS Galaxy at 38% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into TS Galaxy vs Chippa United
TS Galaxy
- L0-1Kruger United13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sekhukhune United5 September 2026
- W3-2away to Marumo Gallants25 August 2026
- D0-0Golden Arrows16 August 2026
- L2-3Mamelodi Sundowns11 August 2026
Chippa United
- D1-1Mamelodi Sundowns12 September 2026
- D0-0Milford FC5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Siwelele25 August 2026
- L0-3Orlando Pirates16 August 2026
- D1-1Richards Bay11 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TS Galaxy | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Chippa United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: TS Galaxy and Chippa United
TS Galaxy
- V. Letsoalo4 goals
Chippa United
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
TS Galaxy carry a model rating of 6.29 against 6.34 for Chippa United. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.17 goals for TS Galaxy and 0.91 for Chippa United. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
TS Galaxy rate 0.53 in attack and 1.64 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Chippa United rate 0.46 and 1.36.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives TS Galaxy the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.17 expected goals for TS Galaxy against 0.91 for Chippa United. TS Galaxy's attack/defence rating is 0.53/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.36 for Chippa United.