Milford FC vs Durban City Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Milford FC 1-1 Durban City.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Milford FC, 31% draw, 30% Durban City — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All South African Premier Soccer League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Milford FC at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Milford FC vs Durban City
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32S. HlezaG
- 75T. MbungaD
- 5V. MthabelaD
- 22O. CeleD
- 14S. MdluliD
- 55C. MthethwaM
- 17J. GxakosheM
- 10M. ChiliM
- 38Y. NomandelaM
- 11M. ZikakayoM
- 21S. NdlabiF
- 30M. MadondoG
- 13P. NgxongoD
- 18K. KhwanyaD
- 26A. ChabanhuD
- 50K. RadebeM
- 6S. JoyiM
- 8M. MkhizeF
- 90S. MasilelaF
- 12P. JwaraM
- 33F. AsareG
- 2B. ShanduD
- 27S. MsomiD
- 5S. NcananaD
- 24J. MokoneD
- 17K. Jurgens
- 23T. SangerM
- 10S. MasekoM
- 8G. SirinoM
- 40J. PapierM
- 14L. KoapengF
- 34A. Dreyer
- 4F. GcabaD
- 28E. BrooksM
- 35L. SifumbaM
- 26T. NodadaM
- 16L. MakuaM
- 9T. MorrisF
- 3B. MthembuM
- 20J. LwambaF
Form going into Milford FC vs Durban City
Milford FC
Premier Soccer League
- W5-1Richards Bay13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Chippa United5 September 2026
Durban City
Premier Soccer League
- L0-2away to Orlando Pirates17 September 2026
- D0-0Stellenbosch1 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milford FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 18 |
| 13 | Durban City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Milford FC vs Durban City
- 7 May 2025Durban City 1–2 Milford FC1st Division
- 14 December 2024Milford FC 1–2 Durban City1st Division
Leading scorers: Milford FC and Durban City
Milford FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Zikakayo40
Durban City
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Milford FC and Durban City drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Milford FC at 39% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Zikakayo 39' for Milford FC, L. Sifumba 50' for Durban City. On expected goals it finished 1.89–0.41.
How the call on Milford FC v Durban City has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 39% / 31% / 30%: the biggest move is Durban City's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Milford FC win39%▲ +1
- Draw31%▲ +1
- Durban City win30%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.