Liga MX · 19 July 2026

Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca

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Final score: Guadalajara Chivas 0-2 Toluca.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Guadalajara Chivas, 28% draw, 24% Toluca — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Match stats: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca

Guadalajara Chivas had 40% possession, 13 shots (4 on target), 9 corners, 0.96 expected goals; Toluca had 60% possession, 15 shots (10 on target), 2 corners, 1.93 expected goals.

Goals: A. Vega (penalty) 42' for Toluca, J. Gallardo 74' for Toluca.

Head-to-head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca

  • 19 July 2026Guadalajara Chivas 0–2 TolucaLiga MX
  • 28 February 2026Toluca 2–0 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
  • 21 September 2025Guadalajara Chivas 0–3 TolucaLiga MX
  • 16 February 2025Toluca 2–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
  • 7 July 2024Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 TolucaLiga MX
  • 12 May 2024Toluca 0–0 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.