19 July 2026

Club Queretaro vs Club America Liga MX prediction & result

Full time0 – 1

Final score: Club Queretaro 0-1 Club America.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Club Queretaro, 42% draw, 26% Club America — fair odds of 3.13, 2.38 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

S. Homenchenko
23'
27'
A. Cervantes
42'
K. Alvarez
🔁J. Cazaresout: Paulo Victor
59'
🔁J. Unjanqueout: E. Gimenez
59'
B. Duarte
65'
L. Abascia
70'
70'
R. Juarez
D. Reyes
71'
73'
⚽H. Martin (pen)assist: H. Martin
79'
🔁K. Alvarezout: A. H. Gutierrez Torres
Paulo Victor
81'
83'
⚽I. Violanteassist: H. Martin
88'
A. Cervantes
88'
A. Cervantes
90+1'
🔁Raphael Veigaout: Icaro
🔁C. Garciaout: J. Martinez
90+1'
🔁B. Duarteout: W. Madrid
90+4'
D. Parra
90+7'
90+8'
🔁H. Martinout: A. Cardenas

Match stats — Club Queretaro vs Club America

38%Possession62%
10Shots17
2On target5
2Corners12
0.72xG1.74

Goals against chances

Club Queretaro0 from 0.72 xGless than the chances were worth
Club America1 from 1.74 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1
  • 25Guillermo AllisonG
  • 24Bayron DuarteD
  • 13Diego ReyesD
  • 2Lucas AbasciaD
  • 27Daniel ParraD
  • 4Carlo Adriano GarcíaM
  • 5Santiago HomenchenkoM
  • 22Jean UnjanqueM
  • 11Mateo CoronelM
  • 35Juan Pablo CázaresM
  • 9Ali ÁvilaF
Substitutes
  • 12Paulo VictorD
  • 16Enzo GiménezM
  • 30Mono MartínezM
  • 29Waldo MadridM
  • 1José HernándezG
  • 15Carlos VillanuevaD
  • 28Jesús Arellano CamachoM
  • 18Erik DueñasM
  • 199Sergio GarciaM
Coach: Eduardo Gonzalez Herrera Esteban
Club America 4-4-2
  • 30Rodolfo CotaG
  • 34Dagoberto EspinozaD
  • 29Ramón JuárezD
  • 32Miguel VazquezD
  • 5Kevin ÁlvarezD
  • 12Isaías ViolanteM
  • 28Erick SánchezM
  • 13Alan CervantesM
  • 26Cristián BorjaM
  • 23Raphael VeigaF
  • 9Henry MartínF
Substitutes
  • 20Alexis GutiérrezM
  • 27ÍcaroM
  • 189Alejandro CardenasF
  • 21Fernando TapiaG
  • 24Franco RossanoD
  • 211Andrés AraujoD
  • 240Ricardo GonzálezM
  • 186Osvaldo ArriagaM
  • 19Raúl ZúñigaF
Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Club Queretaro7412107+313
3Club America7511156+916

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Club Queretaro vs Club America

  • 19 July 2026Club Queretaro 0–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 7 March 2026Club Queretaro 1–2 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 10 August 2025Club America 1–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
  • 11 January 2025Club Queretaro 0–1 Club AmericaLiga MX
  • 13 July 2024Club America 3–1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
  • 21 January 2024Club America 2–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX

Leading scorers: Club Queretaro and Club America

Club Queretaro

  • S. Homenchenko4 goals2 assists
  • A. Ávila3 goals

Club America

  • H. Martín3 goals1 assists
  • B. Rodríguez3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.