19 July 2026

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Liga MX prediction & result

Full time3 – 2

Final score: Monterrey 3-2 Santos Laguna.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Monterrey, 27% draw, 41% Santos Laguna — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Santos Laguna at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽L. Ocamposassist: D. Rossi
20'
⚽L. Ocamposassist: O. Torres
25'
⚽J. Coronaassist: L. Ocampos
31'
40'
⚽L. Di Yorio
60'
🔁J. Abellaout: K. Picon
60'
🔁L. Di Yorioout: E. Aguirre
60'
🔁D. Gonzalezout: F. Villalba
🔁J. Coronaout: F. Ambriz
62'
🔁J. Rodriguezout: I. Fimbres
76'
82'
🔁R. Sordoout: D. Medina
82'
🔁C. Gruezoout: A. Lopez
🔁L. Ocamposout: L. Reyes
89'
🔁O. Torresout: U. Djurdjevic
89'
🔁D. Rossiout: R. de la Rosa
89'
90+6'
⚽E. Aguirreassist: F. Sanchez

Match stats — Monterrey vs Santos Laguna

56%Possession44%
19Shots11
13On target3
5Corners5
1.87xG2.36

Goals against chances

Monterrey3 from 1.87 xGmore than the chances were worth
Santos Laguna2 from 2.36 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Monterrey 4-2-3-1
  • 22Luis CárdenasG
  • 2Ricardo ChávezD
  • 33Stefan MedinaD
  • 19Alonso AcevesD
  • 3Gerardo ArteagaD
  • 8Óliver TorresM
  • 30Jorge RodríguezM
  • 10Luca OrellanoM
  • 17Jesús CoronaM
  • 7Lucas OcamposM
  • 9Diego RossiF
Substitutes
  • 5Fidel AmbrízM
  • 11Iker FimbresM
  • 21Luis ReyesD
  • 27Roberto de la RosaF
  • 32Uroš ĐurđevićF
  • 31César RamosG
  • 4Victor GuzmánD
  • 18Cesar GarzaM
  • 200Omar GalvezM
Coach: Matias Almeyda
Santos Laguna 4-2-3-1
  • 1Carlos AcevedoG
  • 4José AbellaD
  • 18Franco PardoD
  • 25Felipe SánchezD
  • 3Mauricio CuevasD
  • 8Salvador MariscalM
  • 11Carlos GruezoM
  • 7Diego GonzálezM
  • 10Ezequiel BullaudeM
  • 26Ramiro SordoM
  • 9Lucas Di YorioF
Substitutes
  • 22Kevin PiconD
  • 21Fran VillalbaM
  • 19Eduardo AguirreF
  • 5Aldo Lopez VargasM
  • 24Diego MedinaM
  • 33Hector HolguinG
  • 14Efrain OronaM
  • 28Jonathan PérezD
  • 15Joshua ManchaM
Coach: Paiva Renato

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Monterrey73131310+310
17Santos Laguna8116613-74

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Monterrey vs Santos Laguna

  • 19 July 2026Monterrey 3–2 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 26 April 2026Santos Laguna 3–0 MonterreyLiga MX
  • 28 September 2025Monterrey 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 3 March 2025Monterrey 4–2 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 15 September 2024Santos Laguna 0–2 MonterreyLiga MX
  • 22 January 2024Santos Laguna 0–2 MonterreyLiga MX

Leading scorers: Monterrey and Santos Laguna

Monterrey

  • L. Ocampos5 goals1 assists

Santos Laguna

No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.