Tigre vs Barracas Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Tigre 0-0 Barracas Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Tigre, 28% draw, 31% Barracas Central — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tigre at 41% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tigre vs Barracas Central
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12F. T. ZenobioG
- 4V. MorenoD
- 20A. BarrionuevoD
- 32J. VillalbaD
- 3N. BanegasD
- 10J. SaraleguiM
- 8M. GarayM
- 27S. GonzalezM
- 22S. LopezM
- 33M. MendezF
- 29I. RussoF
- 26L. MoralesG
- 23G. RequenaD
- 24F. AlvarezD
- 40L. MinnitiD
- 5B. LeyesM
- 30J. EliasM
- 21S. MedinaM
- 11T. SerragoM
- 19A. OviedoF
- 30M. MinoG
- 4D. MartinezD
- 14K. JappertD
- 15Y. RakD
- 31N. DemartiniD
- 17E. PereyraD
- 8T. PorraM
- 5D. MilocM
- 10I. TapiaM
- 77F. BrueraF
- 11N. BriascoF
- 1J. EspinolaG
- 37G. CampiD
- 13R. BarriosD
- 2N. CapraroD
- 33G. MaroniM
- 28R. BogarinM
- 35E. RolonM
- 24E. TabordaF
- 20J. CandiaF
Form going into Tigre vs Barracas Central
Tigre
- W2-1Central Cordoba de Santiago24 August 2026
Barracas Central
- L1-2Platense23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tigre vs Barracas Central
- 25 February 2026Barracas Central 2–1 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 October 2025Tigre 2–2 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 April 2025Barracas Central 1–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 December 2024Barracas Central 0–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 July 2023Tigre 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 June 2022Tigre 1–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Tigre and Barracas Central
Tigre
- I. Russo8 goals3 assists
- M. Méndez7 goals3 assists
- D. Romero7 goals2 assists
Barracas Central
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.