1 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Durban City vs Stellenbosch Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Chatsworth Stadium, Durban
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Durban City 0-0 Stellenbosch.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Durban City, 29% draw, 27% Stellenbosch — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Durban City at 44% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Durban City5%Draw92%Stellenbosch3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
Genino Palace
29'
Raoul Daniels
🔁H. Domingoout: E. Brooks
58'
🔁S. Masekoout: L. Sifumba
58'
61'
🔁Danielsout: T. Lebitso
61'
🔁K. Ramushuout: C. Butsaka
61'
🔁B. Groblerout: Q. Plaatjies
69'
Quwan Plaatjies
🔁G. Sirinoout: T. Morris
71'
🔁B. Shanduout: F. Gcaba
83'
🔁J. Lwambaout: T. Nodada
83'
90+2'
🔁T. Mashegoout: Q. Sibande

Match stats — Durban City vs Stellenbosch

66%Possession34%
12Shots6
1On target1
4Corners0
0.58xG0.5

Goals against chances

Durban City0 from 0.58 xGless than the chances were worth
Stellenbosch0 from 0.50 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Durban City 4-2-3-1
  • 33F. AsareG
  • 2B. ShanduD
  • 27S. MsomiD
  • 5S. NcananaD
  • 24J. MokoneD
  • 18B. PoggenpoelM
  • 23T. SangerM
  • 10S. MasekoM
  • 8G. SirinoM
  • 7H. DomingoM
  • 20J. LwambaF
Substitutes
  • 34A. Dreyer
  • 4F. GcabaD
  • 28E. BrooksM
  • 35L. SifumbaM
  • 29A. DoumbiaM
  • 26T. NodadaM
  • 17K. Jurgens
  • 40J. PapierF
  • 9T. MorrisF
Coach: Khalil Ben Youssef
Stellenbosch 4-1-4-1
  • 17S. StephensG
  • 26S. NkwaliD
  • 30S. MsimangoD
  • 4L. VenaD
  • 27T. MashegoD
  • 28L. MatlouM
  • 32DanielsM
  • 19G. PalaceM
  • 2K. RamushuM
  • 67B. GroblerM
  • 14S. KwayibaF
Substitutes
  • 1N. GarrowG
  • 37T. LebitsoF
  • 22Q. SibandeD
  • 21G. TaunyanaD
  • 33C. ButsakaM
  • 20K. JohannesenM
  • 8V. AndrieasM
  • 11Q. PlaatjiesF
  • 24O. MbembeM
Coach: Gavin Hunt

Form going into Durban City vs Stellenbosch

Durban City

  • W2-0away to Kruger United25 August 2026
  • D1-1Richards Bay15 August 2026

Stellenbosch

  • L0-1away to Golden Arrows26 August 2026
  • W3-1Marumo Gallants14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Durban City714245-17
7Stellenbosch723287+19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Durban City and Stellenbosch

Durban City

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Stellenbosch

  • Q. Plaatjies3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.