Wolfsberger AC
vs
Lask Linz
Bundesliga prediction
The model makes it 32% Wolfsberger AC, 22% draw, 46% Lask Linz — fair odds of 3.13, 4.55 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Wolfsberger AC 1.66, Lask Linz 1.99.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Wolfsberger AC
- L1-2away to Austria Lustenau15 August 2026
- D1-1Red Bull Salzburg9 August 2026
- W3-0Austria Vienna2 August 2026
Lask Linz
- W4-1Ried14 August 2026
- W2-0away to Austria Vienna9 August 2026
- W3-0Grazer AK31 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs Lask Linz
- 8 March 2026Lask Linz 3–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 27 September 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–0 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 2 April 2025Lask Linz 1–1 Wolfsberger ACCup
- 7 December 2024Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 1 September 2024Lask Linz 1–5 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 24 February 2024Lask Linz 0–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
Leading scorers
Wolfsberger AC
- G. Vrioni4 goals
Lask Linz
- S. Adeniran4 goals1 assists
- M. Usor2 goals2 assists
- C. Lang2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Wolfsberger AC carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.61 for Lask Linz. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Wolfsberger AC W-D-L; Lask Linz W-W-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.66 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.99 for Lask Linz. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Wolfsberger AC rate 0.65 in attack and 1.69 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lask Linz rate 0.84 and 1.35.
That points to 71% for over two and a half goals and 70% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 456 correct results out of 938 settled predictions (49%), with 88 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Lask Linz the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.66 expected goals for Wolfsberger AC against 1.99 for Lask Linz. Wolfsberger AC's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.69 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/1.35 for Lask Linz.