31 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Zamalek SC vs Petrojet Premier League prediction & result

Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Zamalek SC 2-1 Petrojet.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Zamalek SC, 28% draw, 32% Petrojet — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zamalek SC at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zamalek SC99%Draw1%Petrojet0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Adham Hamed
⚽H. Ashrafassist: C. Banza
40'
Mahmoud Hamdi
43'
43'
Badr Mousa
🔁A. Kaiedout: M. El Sayed
46'
62'
🔁O. Diyaaout: G. Chika
62'
🔁Mohamed Dodoout: A. Liadi
62'
🔁M. El Badryout: K. Sekgota
⚽M. El Sayedassist: O. Dabbagh
63'
69'
🔁Y. Abdeltawabout: F. M. Kouablan
🔁O. Dabbaghout: Esho
73'
🔁C. Banzaout: N. Mansy
74'
78'
🔁A. Hamedout: A. Hamawy
🔁out: A. El Said
83'
🔁H. Ashrafout: M. El Zenary
85'
90'
⚽B. Moussa (pen)

Match stats — Zamalek SC vs Petrojet

51%Possession49%
12Shots23
4On target5
1Corners6
0.72xG2.65

Goals against chances

Zamalek SC2 from 0.72 xGmore than the chances were worth
Petrojet1 from 2.65 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zamalek SC 4-2-3-1
  • 37E. M. SolimanG
  • 4O. GaberD
  • 24M. IsmailD
  • 28El Wensh MahmoudD
  • 3M. BentaygD
  • 17M. ShehataM
  • 12A. Rabie
  • 98O. DabbaghM
  • 18A. KaiedM
  • 81C. BanzaM
  • 7H. AshrafF
Substitutes
  • 99M. AwadG
  • 52M. I. HassanD
  • 20M. El ZenaryD
  • 19A. El SaidM
  • 39M. El SayedM
  • 97A. KhodaryD
  • 31A. SherifF
  • 11EshoM
  • 9N. MansyF
Coach: Motamed Gamal
Petrojet 4-4-2
  • 1O. SalahG
  • 22O. DiyaaD
  • 25B. HaggagD
  • 40Y. AbdeltawabD
  • 7K. El DeebD
  • 11Mohamed DodoM
  • 8M. Okasha
  • 17A. HamedM
  • 9B. MoussaM
  • 19M. El BadryF
  • 15A. BahbahF
Substitutes
  • 77M. Khalifa
  • 29A. YassinD
  • 2A. BahM
  • 12A. Hamawy
  • 30G. ChikaF
  • 21A. LiadiF
  • 13F. M. KouablanF
  • 27K. SekgotaM
  • 32A. El BeblawyM
Coach: Sayed Eid

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Zamalek SC8611114+719
13Petrojet72231012-28

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Zamalek SC and Petrojet

Zamalek SC

GoalsAssists

  • Ahmed Sherif30
  • Chico Banza21
  • Hossam Ashraf20

Petrojet

GoalsAssists

  • Mostafa El Badry31
  • Ahmed Bahbah31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.