Difaa EL Jadida vs CODM Meknès Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Difaa EL Jadida 2-6 CODM Meknès.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Difaa EL Jadida, 30% draw, 29% CODM Meknès — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Difaa EL Jadida at 41%: of 2,664 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.9% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Difaa EL Jadida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 2 | CODM Meknès | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Difaa EL Jadida vs CODM Meknès
- 25 April 2026CODM Meknès 0–1 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 14 September 2025Difaa EL Jadida 0–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
- 16 March 2025Difaa EL Jadida 2–1 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
- 8 November 2024CODM Meknès 3–0 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 3 March 2024CODM Meknès 1–1 Difaa EL JadidaBotola 2
The result against the call
CODM Meknès won 6–2 at Difaa EL Jadida. The model had leaned towards a win for Difaa EL Jadida at 41% and given a win for CODM Meknès 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: H. Elowasti (penalty) 13' for CODM Meknès, Z. Bahrou (penalty) 22' for CODM Meknès, H. El Janati 26' for CODM Meknès, W. Onana 35' for CODM Meknès, H. Elowasti 47' for CODM Meknès, S. Abaaziz 62' for Difaa EL Jadida, M. Mouchtanim (penalty) 73' for Difaa EL Jadida, T. Razko 80' for CODM Meknès.
How the call on Difaa EL Jadida v CODM Meknès has moved
First published on 10 Sep at 49% / 25% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 41% / 30% / 29%: the biggest move is Difaa EL Jadida's chance of winning, down 8 points.
- Difaa EL Jadida win41%▼ −8
- Draw30%▲ +5
- CODM Meknès win29%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.