Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Huracan.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Independiente Rivadavia, 21% draw, 30% Huracan — fair odds of 2.04, 4.76 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Independiente Rivadavia at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Nicolás BolcatoG
- 14Luciano GómezD
- 2Leonard CostaD
- 42Sheyko StuderD
- 3Juan Manuel ElordiD
- 11Gonzalo RíosM
- 5Tomás BottariM
- 25José FlorentínM
- 10Matías FernándezM
- 9Alex ArceF
- 43Fabrizio SartoriF
- 20Alessandro RiepM
- 8Leonel BuccaM
- 32Kevin VázquezM
- 40Iván VillalbaD
- 13Alejo OsellaD
- 21Emmanuel GómezG
- 77Luis SequeiraM
- 34Stefano MoreyraM
- 27Diego CregoM
- 1Hernán GalíndezG
- 2Lucas BlondelD
- 21Hugo NervoD
- 6Fabio PereyraD
- 35Máximo PalazzoD
- 25César IbáñezD
- 8Leonardo GilM
- 20Emmanuel OjedaM
- 7Oscar CortésM
- 17Juan BisanzF
- 9Jordy CaicedoF
- 24Facundo KalingerM
- 19Leandro LescanoD
- 14Alejandro MartínezM
- 10Óscar RomeroM
- 32Sebastián MezaG
- 34Ignacio CampoD
- 3Lucas CarrizoD
- 4Federico VeraD
- 48Santino RayneliM
Form going into Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan
Independiente Rivadavia
- D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman26 July 2026
Huracan
- W1-0Banfield25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan
- 27 January 2026Huracan 1–2 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 September 2025Independiente Rivadavia 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 March 2025Huracan 2–0 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15 June 2024Huracan 1–0 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 February 2024Independiente Rivadavia 2–0 HuracanCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 8 December 2014Huracan 4–0 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Independiente Rivadavia and Huracan
Independiente Rivadavia
- A. Arce9 goals1 assists
- F. Sartori8 goals
Huracan
- J. Caicedo13 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.