Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Talleres Cordoba 2-1 Union Santa Fe.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Talleres Cordoba, 27% draw, 40% Union Santa Fe — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Union Santa Fe at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32E. UnsainG
- 20A. SchottD
- 4M. CatalanD
- 6R. D. RiquelmeD
- 23G. Baez CorradiD
- 8F. FattoriM
- 15J. SforzaM
- 37RickM
- 19F. CristaldoM
- 11V. DepietriM
- 9A. AlvarezF
- 1S. BarbiG
- 13V. FascendiniD
- 44S. FernandezD
- 3A. MaidanaD
- 2T. ChamorroD
- 31B. TreyM
- 25T. BaroniM
- 39L. Ortiz
- 10G. BaroniM
- 21M. MansillaG
- 15J. PintadoD
- 44T. FagioliD
- 26J. LuduenaD
- 18L. AyalaD
- 5L. MenossiM
- 8E. GiacconeM
- 20J. PalaciosM
- 10I. MalcorraM
- 22B. CuelloM
- 19M. EstigarribiaF
- 41A. ChavezG
- 4M. RochaD
- 36M. AimarD
- 12B. PittonD
- 32N. FazziD
- 46S. GrellaM
- 11M. Luna DialeM
- 17J. MosqueiraM
- 34M. PeresuttiM
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo5 September 2026
- D0-0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 August 2026
- D2-2Rosario Central25 August 2026
- L1-3away to Gimnasia Mendoza18 August 2026
- L0-3Lanus12 August 2026
Union Santa Fe
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Instituto Cordoba8 September 2026
- W4-1Sarmiento Junin28 August 2026
- W3-1away to Aldosivi21 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo15 August 2026
- L1-2Central Cordoba de Santiago11 August 2026
What these results say
- Talleres Cordoba did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Union Santa Fe conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Union Santa Fe scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Union Santa Fe had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe
- 2 May 2026Union Santa Fe 1–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 November 2024Union Santa Fe 2–3 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 July 2023Talleres Cordoba 0–0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 October 2022Talleres Cordoba 2–2 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 February 2022Talleres Cordoba 0–0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 22 August 2021Union Santa Fe 1–2 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Talleres Cordoba and Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Union Santa Fe
GoalsAssists
- C. Tarragona152
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Talleres Cordoba beat Union Santa Fe 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Union Santa Fe at 40% and given a win for Talleres Cordoba 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Alvarez 39' for Talleres Cordoba, V. Depietri 75' for Talleres Cordoba, E. Ramirez 90' for Union Santa Fe. On expected goals it finished 2.25–0.77.
How the call on Talleres Cordoba v Union Santa Fe has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 27% / 40%: the biggest move is Union Santa Fe's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Talleres Cordoba win33%▼ −8
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Union Santa Fe win40%▲ +9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.