12 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi
Full time2 – 1

Final score: IFK Goteborg 2-1 Halmstad.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% IFK Goteborg, 28% draw, 25% Halmstad — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IFK Goteborg at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IFK Goteborg97%Draw3%Halmstad0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Hussein Carneil
⚽Sam Larsson
37'
38'
Tom Trybull
45'
🔁Erko Tougjasout: Joel Allansson
⚽Felix Erikssonassist: Noah Tolf
52'
Noah Tolf
60'
🔁Nino Žugeljout: Alfons Borén
65'
71'
🔁Ajdin Zeljkovicout: Malte Persson
71'
🔁Erik Ludvig Arvidssonout: Marvin Illary
73'
⚽Rocco Ascone (pen)
🔁oliver manssonout: Kolbeinn Thordarson
76'
🔁Alexander Simmelhackout: Max Johannes Whitta Fenger
76'
79'
🔁Hussein Carneilout: Omar Faraj
Alfons Borén
82'
🔁Sam Larssonout: Kevin Ackermann
88'
90+6'
🔁Malte Perssonout: Filip·Schyberg

Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad

48%Possession52%
15Shots9
7On target3
8Corners9

Line-ups

IFK Goteborg 4-3-3
  • 12V. AnderssonG
  • 18F. ErikssonD
  • 5J. BagerD
  • 6H. HermannssonD
  • 22Noah TolfD
  • 24O. ManssonM
  • 15D. KruseM
  • 8S. LarssonM
  • 11N. ŽugeljF
  • 7Alexander Illum SimmelhackF
  • 14T. HeintzF
Substitutes
  • 4K. AckermannM
  • 25E. BishesariG
  • 27A. BorénF
  • 26E. FasthM
  • 9M. FengerF
  • 21L. RadakovicM
  • 28I. SeiduD
  • 23K. ÞórðarsonM
  • 20G. ErsoyD
Coach: Joachim Björklund
Halmstad 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. RönningG
  • 17A. BomanD
  • 5P. GregorD
  • 3G. WallentinD
  • 24R. KaibD
  • 16E. TõugjasM
  • 28T. TrybullM
  • 11L. ArvidssonM
  • 27R. AsconeM
  • 14H. CarneilM
  • 23A. ZeljkovicF
Substitutes
  • 9O. FarajF
  • 19M. IllaryM
  • 22Oliver KapsimalisF
  • 8N. MäenpääM
  • 18Malte PerssonF
  • 4F. SchybergD
  • 25A. Damnjanovic NilssonM
  • 6J. AllanssonM
  • 35A. WihedG
Coach: S. Baxter

Form going into IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad

IFK Goteborg

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1away to Mjallby AIF7 September 2026
  • W1-0Orgryte IS30 August 2026
  • D1-1IF Elfsborg23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Gent13 August 2026

Halmstad

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Degerfors IF5 September 2026
  • W1-0Kalmar FF29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orgryte IS22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to BK Hacken17 August 2026
  • L0-2Gais9 August 2026

What these results say

  • IFK Goteborg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Halmstad had two goals or fewer.
  • Halmstad failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Halmstad conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9IFK Goteborg2610883645-938
16Halmstad2645171849-3117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad

  • 18 April 2026Halmstad 1–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 26 October 2025Halmstad 0–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
  • 5 April 2025IFK Goteborg 1–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 23 September 2024IFK Goteborg 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 7 April 2024Halmstad 1–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and Halmstad

IFK Goteborg

GoalsAssists

  • S. Larsson83

Halmstad

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IFK Goteborg beat Halmstad 2–1. The model had made a win for IFK Goteborg its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Sam Larsson 37' for IFK Goteborg, Felix Eriksson 52' for IFK Goteborg, Rocco Ascone (penalty) 73' for Halmstad.

How the call on IFK Goteborg v Halmstad has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 47% / 28% / 25%: the biggest move is IFK Goteborg's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. IFK Goteborg win47%▲ +6
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Halmstad win25%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.