SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: SV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% SV Darmstadt 98, 29% draw, 32% Arminia Bielefeld — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SV Darmstadt 98 at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld
Line-ups
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 28C. LannertD
- 49Y. LührsD
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 5M. RichterM
- 17K. KlefischM
- 23C. SickingerM
- 7N. WeißhauptM
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
- 36M. SmitF
- 24Benedikt BörnerG
- 4Grayson DettoniD
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 11I. El KadiriF
- 44Y. FurukawaF
- 22L. KehlM
- 3F. KleinhanslD
- 25W. MikelbrencisD
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 1J. KerskenG
- 7H. KoudossouD
- 5M. BauerD
- 19M. GroßerD
- 17A. SickerD
- 6M. MehlemM
- 21S. RussoM
- 38M. WörlM
- 14M. MomuluhF
- 11J. GrodowskiF
- 10J. RocheltF
- 27Benjamin Bediako BoakyeF
- 3J. FelixD
- 29T. HandwerkerD
- 31L. JensenM
- 9D. MinF
- 18L. OppermannG
- 8S. SchreckM
- 42T. WegenerM
- 30I. YoungF
Form going into SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern5 September 2026
- L0-1Hannover 9630 August 2026
- L0-1away to Dynamo Dresden16 August 2026
- D2-2Holstein Kiel8 August 2026
Arminia Bielefeld
All competitions we cover
- D2-2FC St. Pauli4 September 2026
- L1-4away to 1. FC Nürnberg29 August 2026
- W3-0Energie Cottbus16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Karlsruher SC8 August 2026
What these results say
- SV Darmstadt 98 did not win any of these 4 matches.
- SV Darmstadt 98 conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- SV Darmstadt 98 failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Arminia Bielefeld scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Arminia Bielefeld had three goals or more.
- Arminia Bielefeld failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld
- 4 April 2026Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 1 November 2025SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
- 11 March 2023Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 4 September 2022SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
- 18 June 2020Arminia Bielefeld 1–0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 1 December 2019SV Darmstadt 98 1–3 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: SV Darmstadt 98 and Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Arminia Bielefeld
GoalsAssists
- J. Grodowski51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Darmstadt 98 beat Arminia Bielefeld 2–1. The model had made a win for SV Darmstadt 98 its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Lee Ho-Jae 3' for SV Darmstadt 98, Marius Worl 59' for Arminia Bielefeld, Milan Smit (penalty) 86' for SV Darmstadt 98.