Eintracht Braunschweig
vs
Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2 Dynamo Dresden.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Eintracht Braunschweig, 28% draw, 30% Dynamo Dresden — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Eintracht Braunschweig 1.69, Dynamo Dresden 1.24.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eintracht Braunschweig at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden
Eintracht Braunschweig
- L1-3away to VfL Osnabrück6 September 2026
- L3-5Hertha BSC28 August 2026
- L0-1VfL Bochum14 August 2026
- W6-1away to 1. FC Magdeburg8 August 2026
Dynamo Dresden
- L1-2VfL Bochum5 September 2026
- L3-5away to 1. FC Heidenheim29 August 2026
- W1-0SV Darmstadt 9816 August 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Nürnberg9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden
- 9 May 2026Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 12 December 2025Dynamo Dresden 2–3 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 3 July 2021Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 Dynamo DresdenFriendlies Clubs
- 21 August 2020Dynamo Dresden 0–1 Eintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs
- 21 August 2020Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 Dynamo DresdenFriendlies Clubs
- 8 April 2018Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Eintracht Braunschweig and Dynamo Dresden
Eintracht Braunschweig
- Jan Urbich3 goals1 assists
Dynamo Dresden
- J. Sterner2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Eintracht Braunschweig carry a model rating of 6.48 against 6.48 for Dynamo Dresden. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.69 goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.24 for Dynamo Dresden. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Eintracht Braunschweig rate 0.71 in attack and 1.49 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Dynamo Dresden rate 0.69 and 1.46.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eintracht Braunschweig the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig against 1.24 for Dynamo Dresden. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.49 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.69/1.46 for Dynamo Dresden.