11 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Full time2 – 1

Final score: 1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Hannover 96.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% 1. FC Nürnberg, 28% draw, 31% Hannover 96 — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts 1. FC Nürnberg at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

1. FC Nürnberg96%Draw4%Hannover 960%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Julian Justvan
5'
8'
⚽Lars Gindorf (pen)
Finn Ole Becker
23'
Piet Scobel
32'
55'
🔁Benedikt Pichlerout: Husseyn Chakroun
🔁Finn Ole Beckerout: William Bøving
63'
⚽Mohamed Alì Zoma
65'
71'
🔁Lars Gindorfout: Emir Sahiti
71'
🔁Stefán Teitur Thórdarsonout: Benjamin Källman
🔁Julian Justvanout: Rafael Lubach
72'
🔁Piet Scobelout: Sigurd Haugen
72'
74'
🔁Kolja Oudenneout: Hayate Matsuda
75'
🔁Boris Tomiakout: Ime Okon
76'
Maurice Neubauer
🔁Mohamed Alì Zomaout: Tobias Heß
90'
Tim janisch
90+3'

Match stats — 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96

54%Possession46%
27Shots9
8On target2
7Corners2

Line-ups

1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. ReichertG
  • 32T. JanischD
  • 4A. KalogeropoulosD
  • 20F. OttoD
  • 41E. PorstnerD
  • 6A. MarhievM
  • 8J. FernandezM
  • 10J. JustvanM
  • 22F. BeckerM
  • 23M. ZomaM
  • 19P. ScobelF
Substitutes
  • 11W. BøvingF
  • 14andrea ceresoliD
  • 7R. GhriebF
  • 9S. HaugenF
  • 13Robin LisewskiG
  • 18Rafael LubachM
  • 36K. MandicD
  • 16Marko SoldicM
  • 43T. HessD
Coach: M. Klose
Hannover 96 3-1-4-2
  • 30L. WeinkaufG
  • 17B. AllgeierD
  • 3B. TomiakD
  • 5V. GhițăD
  • 23S. ÞórðarsonM
  • 33M. NeubauerM
  • 10M. HartelM
  • 8W. TaïbiM
  • 29K. OudenneM
  • 11B. PichlerF
  • 25L. GindorfF
Substitutes
  • 28Taycan Macid EtcibasiF
  • 9B. KällmanF
  • 1P. LoretzG
  • 27H. MatsudaD
  • 20I. OkonD
  • 13F. RoggowM
  • 44E. SahitiF
  • 22Noah EngelbrethM
  • 14H. ChakrounF
Coach: C. Titz

Form going into 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96

1. FC Nürnberg

  • D2-2away to Holstein Kiel5 September 2026
  • W4-1Arminia Bielefeld29 August 2026
  • W4-2away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth15 August 2026
  • W3-0Dynamo Dresden9 August 2026

Hannover 96

  • D2-2Karlsruher SC4 September 2026
  • W1-0away to SV Darmstadt 9830 August 2026
  • L0-1VfL Wolfsburg16 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Energie Cottbus9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
21. FC Nürnberg5410156+913
15Hannover 96511358-34

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96

  • 17 May 2026Hannover 96 3–3 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • 21 December 20251. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 1 March 20251. FC Nürnberg 1–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 29 September 2024Hannover 96 2–0 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • 26 January 2024Hannover 96 3–0 FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga
  • 6 August 2023FC Nurnberg 2–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: 1. FC Nürnberg and Hannover 96

1. FC Nürnberg

  • M. Zoma5 goals
  • J. Justvan3 goals1 assists
  • P. Scobel3 goals1 assists

Hannover 96

  • L. Gindorf3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.