Sutjeska
vs
ML Vitebsk
The model makes it 37% Sutjeska, 24% draw, 39% ML Vitebsk — fair odds of 2.70, 4.17 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Sutjeska 1.62, ML Vitebsk 1.69.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Sutjeska vs ML Vitebsk
- 23 July 2026ML Vitebsk 3–0 SutjeskaUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives ML Vitebsk the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.62 expected goals for Sutjeska against 1.69 for ML Vitebsk. Sutjeska's attack/defence rating is 0.34/2.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.5/2.52 for ML Vitebsk.