30 July 2026, 19:00 UTC

Sutjeska vs ML Vitebsk UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion Gradski
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Sutjeska 1-2 ML Vitebsk.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Sutjeska, 24% draw, 41% ML Vitebsk — fair odds of 2.86, 4.17 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: ML Vitebsk 3–0 Sutjeska (23 Jul) →

ML Vitebsk went through 5–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts ML Vitebsk at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sutjeska4%Draw91%ML Vitebsk5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
⚽A. Kontsevoy
46'
🔁D. Cleoniseout: B. Diabate
Slobodan Babić
54'
🔁V. Cavorout: P. Anicic
56'
🔁S. Babicout: B. Toskovic
57'
60'
🔁A. Mesarovicout: M. Mohammadi
60'
🔁R. Bosicout: S. Gnaka
🔁A. Scekicout: M. Camara
64'
🔁A. Boljevicout: A. Kecojevic
64'
Balša Tošković
65'
Andrija Ražnatović
66'
71'
🔁A. Kontsevoyout: M. Bulanov
81'
🔁I. Moskalenchikout: T. Ivanov
⚽B. Toskovicassist: M. Simun
84'
🔁B. Kopitovicout: R. Dedic
86'
90'
⚽B. Diabateassist: V. Gromyko

Line-ups

Sutjeska 4-3-3
  • 1V. GiljenG
  • 4M. VracarD
  • 15B. KopitovicD
  • 72A. Babic
  • 22A. RaznatovicD
  • 6D. HockoM
  • 19A. ScekicM
  • 77M. SimunM
  • 11V. CavorM
  • 55S. BabicF
  • 7A. BoljevicM
Substitutes
  • 12T. DurovicG
  • 23R. DubljevicG
  • 2A. GolubovicD
  • 3M. CamaraM
  • 5I. PajovicM
  • 9P. AnicicM
  • 10B. ToskovicF
  • 20J. CadjenovicM
  • 21D. CetkovicM
Coach: Milorad Pekovic
ML Vitebsk 4-3-3
  • 1P. PavlyuchenkoG
  • 22Y. SkibskiyM
  • 20Z. VolkovD
  • 6K. GomanovD
  • 45I. MoskalenchikD
  • 55V. GromykoM
  • 15V. BocherovM
  • 27A. MesarovicM
  • 10D. CleoniseM
  • 80A. KontsevoyM
  • 12R. BosicM
Substitutes
  • 30P. ShcherbachenyaG
  • 3N. BaranokD
  • 5M. MohammadiD
  • 7T. IvanovF
  • 8S. GnakaM
  • 9B. DiabateF
  • 18V. ZhukM
  • 23S. BalanovichM
  • 99M. BulanovF
Coach: Mikhail Martinovich

Form going into Sutjeska vs ML Vitebsk

Sutjeska

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to ML Vitebsk23 July 2026

ML Vitebsk

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Sutjeska23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Sutjeska vs ML Vitebsk

  • 23 July 2026ML Vitebsk 3–0 SutjeskaUEFA Europa Conference League

The result against the call

ML Vitebsk won 2–1 at Sutjeska. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for ML Vitebsk at 41%. The goals: A. Kontsevoy 16' for ML Vitebsk, B. Toskovic 84' for Sutjeska, B. Diabate 90' for ML Vitebsk.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.