23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Mezőkövesdi Városi Stadion, Mezokovesd
Full time3 – 0

Final score: ML Vitebsk 3-0 Sutjeska.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% ML Vitebsk, 41% draw, 18% Sutjeska — fair odds of 2.44, 2.44 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Sutjeska v ML Vitebsk, 30 Jul →

ML Vitebsk went through 5–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts ML Vitebsk at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Valeriy Bocherov
11'
30'
Boris Kopitović
⚽Valeriy Gromyko (pen)
31'
⚽V. Gromyko
31'
⚽K. Gomanovassist: A. Kontsevoy
37'
46'
🔁A. Golubovicout: I. Pajovic
46'
🔁V. Cavorout: B. Toskovic
46'
🔁J. Cadjenovicout: A. Scekic
Yan Skibskiy
57'
🔁D. Cleoniseout: B. Diabate
64'
⚽B. Diabateassist: R. Bosic
65'
🔁V. Gromykoout: S. Gnaka
78'
🔁S. Balanovichout: I. Moskalenchik
78'
78'
🔁S. Babicout: P. Anicic
🔁R. Bosicout: M. Mohammadi
87'
🔁Y. Skibskiyout: V. Zhuk
87'
90'
🔁M. Simunout: M. Camara

Line-ups

ML Vitebsk 4-3-3
  • 1Pavel PavlyuchenkoG
  • 23Sergey BalanovichM
  • 20Zakhar VolkovD
  • 6Kirill GomanovD
  • 22Yan SkibskiyM
  • 55Valeriy GromykoM
  • 15Valeriy BocherovM
  • 27Aleksandar MesarovićM
  • 10Denilho CleoniseM
  • 80Artem KontsevoyM
  • 12Radivoj BosićM
Substitutes
  • 9Bassekou DiabatéF
  • 45Ilya MoskalenchikD
  • 8Silas GnakaM
  • 5Milad MohammadiD
  • 18Vladislav ZhukM
  • 30Pavel ShcherbachenyaG
  • 3Nikita BaranokD
  • 7Timur IvanovF
  • 11Shamar NicholsonF
Coach: Mikhail Martinovich
Sutjeska 4-3-3
  • 1Vladan GiljenG
  • 2Aleksa GolubovicD
  • 15Boris KopitovićD
  • 72Anto BabićD
  • 4Milos VracarD
  • 20Jovan ČađenovićM
  • 6Deni HočkoM
  • 77Marko SimunM
  • 11Vasilije CavorM
  • 55Slobodan BabićF
  • 7Aleksandar BoljevićM
Substitutes
  • 5Igor PajovićM
  • 19Aleksandar ŠćekićM
  • 10Balša ToškovićF
  • 9Petar AnicicM
  • 3Mamadou CamaraM
  • 12Tomas DurovicG
  • 23Rados DubljevicG
  • 25Marko ĐukanovićD
  • 44Rados DedicD
Coach: Milorad Pekovic

The result against the call

ML Vitebsk beat Sutjeska 3–0. The goals: V. Gromyko 31' for ML Vitebsk, K. Gomanov 37' for ML Vitebsk, B. Diabate 65' for ML Vitebsk.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.