30 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Ajax vs Vojvodina UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Ajax 4-1 Vojvodina.

Before kick-off the model made it 84% Ajax, 10% draw, 6% Vojvodina — fair odds of 1.19, 10.00 and 16.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Vojvodina 1–4 Ajax (23 Jul) →

Ajax went through 8–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ajax at 84% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ajax99%Draw1%Vojvodina0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
⚽D. Crnomarkovicassist: N. Petrovic
⚽D. Klaassenassist: Y. Regeer
44'
51'
🔁A. Vukanovicout: N. Mulahusejnovic
52'
🔁P. Sukacevout: S. Mitrovic
⚽O. Gloukhassist: M. Godts
53'
🔁K. Dolbergout: Marcos Leonardo
57'
🔁O. Wijndalout: Caio Henrique
57'
🔁D. Klaassenout: J. Mokio
57'
⚽O. Gloukhassist: S. Berghuis
58'
🔁S. Berghuisout: O. Edvardsen
63'
63'
🔁N. Petrovicout: M. Poletanovic
63'
🔁D. Zukicout: M. Vidosavljevic
69'
Stefan Mitrović
⚽O. Gloukhassist: O. Edvardsen
71'
🔁O. Gloukhout: A. Ouazane
73'
75'
🔁L. Randjelovicout: M. Kolarevic
87'
Milan Kolarević

Match stats — Ajax vs Vojvodina

71%Possession29%
27Shots3
11On target2
8Corners2

Line-ups

Ajax 4-3-3
  • 26M. PaesG
  • 2L. RosaD
  • 30A. BouwmanD
  • 17D. BlindD
  • 5O. WijndalD
  • 18D. KlaassenM
  • 6Y. RegeerM
  • 10O. GloukhM
  • 23S. BerghuisF
  • 9K. DolbergF
  • 11M. GodtsF
Substitutes
  • 22J. HeerkensG
  • 52P. ReversonG
  • 20O. EdvardsenF
  • 38Marcos LeonardoF
  • 3A. GaaeiD
  • 15Y. BaasD
  • 68A. OuazaneM
  • 12Caio HenriqueD
  • 7M. CarrizoF
Coach: Michel
Vojvodina 4-2-3-1
  • 12D. RosicG
  • 22L. NikolicD
  • 26K. SzucsD
  • 5D. CrnomarkovicD
  • 23Lucas BarrosD
  • 18N. PetrovicM
  • 35I. DjakovacM
  • 27P. SukacevM
  • 10D. ZukicM
  • 77L. RandjelovicM
  • 9A. VukanovicF
Substitutes
  • 1M. GocmanacG
  • 71B. BogdanovicG
  • 4M. PoletanovicM
  • 55M. VidosavljevicF
  • 99N. MulahusejnovicF
  • 20D. KokanovicM
  • 11M. MladenovicM
  • 25L. PeranovicF
  • 33V. Boskan
Coach: Miroslav Tanjga

Form going into Ajax vs Vojvodina

Ajax

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1away to Vojvodina23 July 2026

Vojvodina

All competitions we cover

  • L1-4Ajax23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ajax and Vojvodina in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
13AjaxUEFA Europa Conference League210132+13
2VojvodinaSuper Liga139222812+1629

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Super Liga

Head-to-head: Ajax vs Vojvodina

  • 23 July 2026Vojvodina 1–4 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 1 August 2024Vojvodina 1–3 AjaxUEFA Europa League
  • 25 July 2024Ajax 1–0 VojvodinaUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Ajax and Vojvodina

Ajax

GoalsAssists

  • D. Klaassen50
  • T. Arokodare42
  • O. Gloukh40

Vojvodina

GoalsAssists

  • D. Zukić81
  • N. Mulahusejnović44
  • L. Ranđelović37

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ajax beat Vojvodina 4–1. The model had made a win for Ajax its most likely outcome, at 84%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: D. Crnomarkovic 40' for Vojvodina, D. Klaassen 44' for Ajax, O. Gloukh 53' for Ajax, O. Gloukh 58' for Ajax, O. Gloukh 71' for Ajax.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.