30 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Ajax vs Vojvodina UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time4 1

Final score: Ajax 4-1 Vojvodina.

Before kick-off the model made it 84% Ajax, 10% draw, 6% Vojvodina — fair odds of 1.19, 10.00 and 16.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ajax at 84% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ajax99%Draw1%Vojvodina0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
D. Crnomarkovicassist: N. Petrovic
D. Klaassenassist: Y. Regeer
44'
51'
🔁A. Vukanovicout: N. Mulahusejnovic
52'
🔁P. Sukacevout: S. Mitrovic
O. Gloukhassist: M. Godts
53'
🔁K. Dolbergout: Marcos Leonardo
57'
🔁O. Wijndalout: Caio Henrique
57'
🔁D. Klaassenout: J. Mokio
57'
O. Gloukhassist: S. Berghuis
58'
🔁S. Berghuisout: O. Edvardsen
63'
63'
🔁N. Petrovicout: M. Poletanovic
63'
🔁D. Zukicout: M. Vidosavljevic
69'
Stefan Mitrović
O. Gloukhassist: O. Edvardsen
71'
🔁O. Gloukhout: A. Ouazane
73'
75'
🔁L. Randjelovicout: M. Kolarevic
87'
Milan Kolarević

Match stats — Ajax vs Vojvodina

71%Possession29%
27Shots3
11On target2
8Corners2

Line-ups

Ajax 4-3-3
  • 26M. PaesG
  • 2L. RosaD
  • 30A. BouwmanD
  • 17D. BlindD
  • 5O. WijndalD
  • 18D. KlaassenM
  • 6Y. RegeerM
  • 10O. GloukhM
  • 23S. BerghuisF
  • 9K. DolbergF
  • 11M. GodtsF
Substitutes
  • 22J. HeerkensG
  • 52P. ReversonG
  • 20O. EdvardsenF
  • 38Marcos LeonardoF
  • 3A. GaaeiD
  • 15Y. BaasD
  • 68A. OuazaneM
  • 12Caio HenriqueD
  • 7M. CarrizoF
Coach: Michel
Vojvodina 4-2-3-1
  • 12D. RosicG
  • 22L. NikolicD
  • 26K. SzucsD
  • 5D. CrnomarkovicD
  • 23Lucas BarrosD
  • 18N. PetrovicM
  • 35I. DjakovacM
  • 27P. SukacevM
  • 10D. ZukicM
  • 77L. RandjelovicM
  • 9A. VukanovicF
Substitutes
  • 1M. GocmanacG
  • 71B. BogdanovicG
  • 4M. PoletanovicM
  • 55M. VidosavljevicF
  • 99N. MulahusejnovicF
  • 20D. KokanovicM
  • 11M. MladenovicM
  • 25L. PeranovicF
  • 33V. Boskan
Coach: Miroslav Tanjga

Form going into Ajax vs Vojvodina

Ajax

  • W4-1away to Vojvodina23 July 2026

Vojvodina

  • L1-4Ajax23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ajax and Vojvodina in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
5AjaxEredivisie5311146+810
2VojvodinaSuper Liga9702209+1121

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eredivisie · Super Liga

Head-to-head: Ajax vs Vojvodina

  • 30 July 2026Ajax 0–0 VojvodinaUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Vojvodina 1–4 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 1 August 2024Vojvodina 1–3 AjaxUEFA Europa League
  • 25 July 2024Ajax 1–0 VojvodinaUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Ajax and Vojvodina

Ajax

  • O. Gloukh4 goals
  • D. Klaassen4 goals
  • T. Arokodare3 goals1 assists

Vojvodina

  • D. Zukić5 goals
  • N. Mulahusejnović4 goals2 assists
  • L. Ranđelović3 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.