Strasbourg vs Monaco Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Strasbourg 1-1 Monaco.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Strasbourg, 28% draw, 31% Monaco — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (France) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Strasbourg at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Strasbourg vs Monaco
Line-ups
- 1F. JörgensenG
- 16G. AntwiD
- 4J. MitchellD
- 6I. DoukouréD
- 36OsoD
- 80Gessime YassineM
- 21P. DiopM
- 10G. ReynaM
- 23Diogo SousaF
- 30J. OrtegaF
- 11S. NanasiF
- 12M. PiekutowskiG
- 24L. HøgsbergD
- 31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
- 28Tyrese NoubissieM
- 14Dário EssugoM
- 29S. El MourabetM
- 45B. BrantlindM
- 7S. Amo-AmeyawF
- 40C. HarderF
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 2VandersonD
- 72Sadibou SanéD
- 15E. DierD
- 20Flávio NazinhoD
- 8L. CamaraM
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 46A. SoubeirM
- 10A. GolovinM
- 17S. Idumbo-MuzamboM
- 29Paris Josua BrunnerF
- 13C. Mawissa ElebiD
- 16P. KöhnG
- 7M. DetourbetF
- 19Pape CabralM
- 14M. BierethF
- 47S. BenzahraM
- 11M. AblineF
- 22M. SalisuD
- 49I. TouréM
Form going into Strasbourg vs Monaco
Strasbourg
All competitions we cover
- W6-2away to Estac Troyes6 September 2026
- W2-1Lens29 August 2026
- L0-4away to Marseille21 August 2026
Monaco
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Paris Saint Germain4 September 2026
- W2-0Marseille30 August 2026
- W4-1Gornik Zabrze27 August 2026
- W1-0away to Le Havre23 August 2026
- W3-2away to Gornik Zabrze20 August 2026
What these results say
- Monaco won every one of these 5 matches.
- Monaco scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Strasbourg vs Monaco
- 17 May 2026Strasbourg 5–4 MonacoLigue 1
- 5 February 2026Strasbourg 3–1 MonacoCoupe de France
- 31 August 2025Monaco 3–2 StrasbourgLigue 1
- 19 April 2025Monaco 0–0 StrasbourgLigue 1
- 9 November 2024Strasbourg 1–3 MonacoLigue 1
Leading scorers: Strasbourg and Monaco
Strasbourg
No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Monaco
GoalsAssists
- Paris Josua Brunner40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Strasbourg and Monaco drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Strasbourg at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Sadibou Sane (own goal) 52' for Strasbourg, Paris Brunner 71' for Monaco.
How the call on Strasbourg v Monaco has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Strasbourg's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Strasbourg win41%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Monaco win31%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.