Auxerre vs Nice Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Auxerre 1-0 Nice.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Auxerre, 30% draw, 32% Nice — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (France) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Auxerre at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Auxerre vs Nice
Line-ups
- 23M. DiopG
- 15C. MakossoD
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 92C. AkpaD
- 27L. SyM
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 5K. DanoisM
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 10D. NamasoF
- 9C. ArcherF
- 3R. Labeau LascaryF
- 35E. LegrosD
- 1P. NardiG
- 77Aristide ZossouM
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 17P. EkwahM
- 21R. FaivreM
- 32R. MandengueD
- 23Y. DioufG
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
- 92J. ClaussM
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 28A. WitselM
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 7G. HeinM
- 11E. WahiM
- 9M. AmouraF
- 87E. PereiraM
- 6H. BoudaouiM
- 77T. BoulhendiG
- 38A. CamaraM
- 10S. DiopM
- 2A. AbdiD
- 21I. JanssonF
- 41D. MoranaF
- 29N. NgoumouF
Form going into Auxerre vs Nice
Auxerre
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Lyon4 September 2026
- L1-3Angers29 August 2026
- L2-5away to Lens22 August 2026
Nice
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Le Mans5 September 2026
- L0-3away to Paris FC30 August 2026
- D0-0Lorient22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Auxerre vs Nice
- 10 May 2026Auxerre 2–1 NiceLigue 1
- 23 August 2025Nice 3–1 AuxerreLigue 1
- 14 March 2025Nice 1–1 AuxerreLigue 1
- 18 August 2024Auxerre 2–1 NiceLigue 1
- 6 January 2024Nice 0–0 AuxerreCoupe de France
Leading scorers: Auxerre and Nice
Auxerre
GoalsAssists
- C. Archer50
- D. Namaso32
Nice
GoalsAssists
- E. Wahi31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Auxerre beat Nice 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Auxerre at 38%. The goal: Cameron Archer 74' for Auxerre.