Paris FC vs Lyon Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Paris FC 0-0 Lyon.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Paris FC, 27% draw, 24% Lyon — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (France) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Paris FC at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Paris FC vs Lyon
Line-ups
- 1K. TrappG
- 31S. CherguiD
- 42D. CoppolaD
- 14H. TraoréD
- 17A. CamaraM
- 20M. LopezM
- 33P. Lees-MelouM
- 15L. KoleoshoM
- 10I. KebbalM
- 7P. PagisM
- 9L. SinayokoF
- 93J. IkonéF
- 25Y. KoréD
- 4V. MarchettiM
- 23R. MatondoM
- 5M. MbowD
- 16O. NkambadioG
- 27M. SimonF
- 18O. SissokoF
- 8E. ZabiM
- 1D. GreifG
- 13Z. AthekameD
- 20F. BacherD
- 19M. NiakhatéD
- 16AbnerD
- 2M. BidstrupM
- 23T. MortonM
- 7E. NuamahM
- 10P. ŠulcM
- 8C. TolissoM
- 17L. OpendaF
- 99N. NarteyM
- 11Keito NakamuraF
- 3N. TagliaficoD
- 6T. TessmannM
- 40R. DescampsG
- 21R. KluivertD
- 26K. BoudacheF
- 22Clinton MataD
- 18K. MerahM
Form going into Paris FC vs Lyon
Paris FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Marseille6 September 2026
- W3-0Nice30 August 2026
- D0-0away to Estac Troyes22 August 2026
Lyon
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Auxerre4 September 2026
- D1-1Le Havre29 August 2026
- L1-2Fenerbahçe26 August 2026
- W2-0away to Toulouse22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Fenerbahçe18 August 2026
What these results say
- Lyon scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lyon conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Lyon.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Paris FC vs Lyon
- 8 March 2026Lyon 1–1 Paris FCLigue 1
- 29 October 2025Paris FC 3–3 LyonLigue 1
Leading scorers: Paris FC and Lyon
Paris FC
GoalsAssists
- L. Sinayoko64
Lyon
GoalsAssists
- E. Nuamah31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Paris FC and Lyon drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Paris FC at 49% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.