Ried vs Grazer AK Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Ried 1-0 Grazer AK.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Ried, 26% draw, 24% Grazer AK — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Ried at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ried vs Grazer AK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. LeitnerG
- 4L. MalicsekD
- 28S. ChukwudiD
- 30O. SteurerD
- 7O. SorgD
- 22S. SchwabM
- 6Y. MaartM
- 12A. BajicM
- 10J. NasraweM
- 47E. E. AisowierenM
- 9P. Sissoko
- 77F. WimmerG
- 5D. RadonjicD
- 33A. GoigingerD
- 42F. LechnerM
- 8M. RasnerM
- 38N. MesicF
- 19T. Lund-JensenM
- 21T. KusanovicF
- 15J. Boguo
- 23C. StankovicG
- 82B. OwusuD
- 2D. PinesD
- 27Y. OberleitnerD
- 8T. KochM
- 28AndersonM
- 34P. MichorlM
- 29I. GuertiM
- 32L. KlassenM
- 10C. LichtenbergerF
- 25A. HofleitnerF
- 1J. MeierhoferG
- 48M. GraggerD
- 72P. MarkovicD
- 30C. HasenhuttlD
- 17S. MandeyM
- 11M. GrosseF
- 6L. HermeshM
- 9D. MadernerF
- 38M. JusF
Form going into Ried vs Grazer AK
Ried
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Lask Linz14 August 2026
- L1-2Rapid Vienna9 August 2026
- D1-1away to Austria Lustenau2 August 2026
Grazer AK
All competitions we cover
- L0-8away to Rapid Vienna16 August 2026
- W2-1Austria Lustenau8 August 2026
- L0-3away to Lask Linz31 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ried | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Grazer AK | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ried vs Grazer AK
- 21 April 2026Ried 2–1 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 17 April 2026Grazer AK 1–1 RiedBundesliga
- 1 March 2026Grazer AK 2–1 RiedBundesliga
- 27 September 2025Ried 0–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 29 March 2024Ried 0–1 Grazer AK2. Liga
Leading scorers: Ried and Grazer AK
Ried
GoalsAssists
- S. Schwab42
- P. Pomer41
- I. Kiese Thelin40
Grazer AK
GoalsAssists
- A. Hofleitner40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ried beat Grazer AK 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ried at 50%. The goal: P. Sissoko (penalty) 45' for Ried. On expected goals it finished 1.65–0.83.