10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
Referee: Eric Wattellier, France
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Stade Brestois 29 5-1 Angers.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Stade Brestois 29, 28% draw, 28% Angers — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stade Brestois 29 at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Stade Brestois 2999%Draw1%Angers0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ludovic Ajorqueassist: Hugo Magnetti
9'
Ludovic Ajorque
15'
⚽Lucas Tousartassist: Joris Chotard
17'
⚽Kenny Lala (pen)
30'
34'
🔁Ousmane Camaraout: Emmanuel Biumla
⚽Mama Baldéassist: Pathé Mboup
45'
45'
🔁Marius Louerout: Lillian Rao-Lisoa
47'
⚽Prosper Peterassist: Joseph Kalulu
⚽Pathé Mboupassist: Ludovic Ajorque
54'
58'
•Jordan Lefort
59'
Jordan Lefort
🔁Mama Baldéout: Joseph Nonge
61'
62'
🔁Yassine Belkdimout: Maël Gernigon
62'
🔁Prosper Peterout: Amine El Ouazzani
🔁Kamory Doumbiaout: Noah Edjouma
79'
🔁Joris Chotardout: Mamady Diambou
79'
85'
🔁Haris Belkeblaout: Louis Mouton
🔁Pathé Mboupout: Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté
85'
🔁Ludovic Ajorqueout: Djylian N´Guessan
86'
87'
Branco Van den Boomen

Match stats — Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers

54%Possession46%
19Shots9
9On target3
4Corners5
3.9xG1.45

Goals against chances

Stade Brestois 295 from 3.90 xGmore than the chances were worth
Angers1 from 1.45 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. SelvikG
  • 70K. LalaD
  • 29L. TousartD
  • 4G. LlorisD
  • 2B. LockoD
  • 13J. ChotardM
  • 8H. MagnettiM
  • 17Mama BaldéM
  • 23K. DoumbiaM
  • 9P. MboupM
  • 19L. AjorqueF
Substitutes
  • 11N. EdjoumaF
  • 6M. DiambouM
  • 18J. BourgaultD
  • 21Ibrahim Yayiya KanteF
  • 34E. MaillyD
  • 39D. N´GuessanF
  • 7J. Nonge BoendeM
  • 30M. PatouilletG
  • 20L. ZogbeD
Coach: Julien Lachuer
Angers 4-3-3
  • 1Anthony LopesG
  • 20Marius LouërD
  • 4O. CamaraD
  • 21J. LefortD
  • 17J. KaluluD
  • 14Y. BelkhdimM
  • 93H. BelkeblaM
  • 8B. van den BoomenM
  • 18J. AllevinahF
  • 9P. PeterF
  • 10A. SbaïF
Substitutes
  • 2C. ArcusD
  • 26A. BermontM
  • 24E. BiumlaM
  • 11Djibirin HarounaF
  • 19A. El OuazzaniF
  • 34M. GernigonD
  • 6L. MoutonM
  • 40Oumar PonaG
  • 27L. Rao-LisoaD
Coach: S. Gilli

Form going into Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers

Stade Brestois 29

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Auxerre20 September 2026
  • L0-1Paris Saint Germain13 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Le Havre5 September 2026
  • D2-2Toulouse29 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Le Mans22 August 2026

Angers

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Estac Troyes19 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Le Havre12 September 2026
  • L1-2Rennes6 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Auxerre29 August 2026
  • L0-2Lille23 August 2026

What these results say

  • Stade Brestois 29 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Stade Brestois 29 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Stade Brestois 29 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Stade Brestois 29104331812+615
16Angers10226919-108

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers

  • 17 May 2026Stade Brestois 29 1–1 AngersLigue 1
  • 28 September 2025Angers 0–2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
  • 9 March 2025Stade Brestois 29 2–0 AngersLigue 1
  • 5 January 2025Angers 2–0 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
  • 6 January 2024Stade Brestois 29 1–0 AngersCoupe de France

The full Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers record →

Leading scorers: Stade Brestois 29 and Angers

Stade Brestois 29

GoalsAssists

  • L. Ajorque51
  • K. Doumbia42

Angers

No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stade Brestois 29 beat Angers 5–1. The model had made a win for Stade Brestois 29 its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ludovic Ajorque 9' for Stade Brestois 29, Lucas Tousart 17' for Stade Brestois 29, Kenny Lala (penalty) 30' for Stade Brestois 29, Mama Baldé 45' for Stade Brestois 29, Prosper Peter 47' for Angers, Pathé Mboup 54' for Stade Brestois 29. Sent off: Jordan Lefort (Angers) 59'. On expected goals it finished 3.90–1.45.

How the call on Stade Brestois 29 v Angers has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Stade Brestois 29's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Stade Brestois 29 win44%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. Angers win28%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.