20 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

KI Klaksvik vs Riga UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Torshavn
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Final score: KI Klaksvik 0-0 Riga.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% KI Klaksvik, 25% draw, 37% Riga — fair odds of 2.63, 4.00 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts KI Klaksvik at 38% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KI Klaksvik5%Draw91%Riga4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Oussama Ali
36'
58'
🔁M. Diopout: Caio Ferreira
62'
Ahmed Ankrah
🔁J. Johannesenout: F. Brattbakk
66'
🔁H. Hanssonout: R. Joensen
79'
🔁P. Klettskardout: D. Reynheim
80'
83'
🔁R. Aouaniout: S. Oulad M'Hand
🔁O. Aliout: E. Hustad
88'
90+3'
🔁Iago Siqueiraout: S. L. Robalo Pedro
90+3'
🔁Reginaldo Ramiresout: A. Taiwo

Match stats — KI Klaksvik vs Riga

51%Possession49%
2On target5
10Corners5

Line-ups

KI Klaksvik 3-4-2-1
  • 96M. JensenG
  • 4M. SinyanM
  • 26G. SorensenD
  • 2G. TellecheaD
  • 23J. DanielsenD
  • 10H. HanssonM
  • 28O. AliM
  • 36Jean CarlosD
  • 7A. FrederiksbergM
  • 11J. JohannesenM
  • 9P. KlettskardF
Substitutes
  • 5D. PavlovicM
  • 6D. JohansenD
  • 12N. Christensen
  • 14R. JoensenM
  • 16R. JosephsenG
  • 17F. BrattbakkM
  • 20E. HustadF
  • 24M. GonzalezM
  • 27D. ReynheimF
Coach: Magnus Powell
Riga 4-3-3
  • 91F. OrolsG
  • 13R. JurkovskisD
  • 21B. MusahD
  • 33Paulo EduardoD
  • 17A. SalazarD
  • 8Iago SiqueiraM
  • 5K. WassomD
  • 40A. AnkrahM
  • 22M. Diop
  • 10Reginaldo RamiresF
  • 7R. AouaniM
Substitutes
  • 1K. ZviedrisG
  • 3AbnerD
  • 6C. SacoM
  • 15S. L. Robalo PedroF
  • 18S. Oulad M'HandM
  • 23M. TonisevsD
  • 25A. TaiwoF
  • 34A. CernomordijsD
  • 44M. KazainisG
Coach: Adrian Gula

Form going into KI Klaksvik vs Riga

KI Klaksvik

  • L0-5Lech Poznan14 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Lech Poznan6 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Kauno Žalgiris29 July 2026
  • D0-0Kauno Žalgiris21 July 2026

Riga

  • D1-1away to Gyori ETO FC13 August 2026
  • W1-0Gyori ETO FC6 August 2026
  • W3-2away to Vardar Skopje22 July 2026

What these results say

  • KI Klaksvik did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • KI Klaksvik failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
  • KI Klaksvik conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.