St Patrick's Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: St Patrick's Athletic 2-0 Shamrock Rovers.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% St Patrick's Athletic, 28% draw, 25% Shamrock Rovers — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts St Patrick's Athletic at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — St Patrick's Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers
Line-ups
- 94J. AnangG
- 7Z. ElbouzediD
- 4J. RedmondD
- 2S. HoareD
- 24L. TurnerD
- 11J. McClellandD
- 48R. SheridanM
- 6J. LennonM
- 19B. BaggleyM
- 27R. EdmondsonF
- 9A. KeenaF
- 8C. ForresterM
- 33S. McHaleD
- 16D. NugentM
- 21A. OlusanyaF
- 17R. PalmerM
- 1D. RogersG
- 23J. BrownD
- 3A. BreslinD
- 35S. RooneyF
- 1E. McGintyG
- 6D. ClearyD
- 4PicoD
- 5L. GraceD
- 22T. SobowaleM
- 7D. WattsM
- 8M. HealyM
- 29J. ByrneM
- 24W. FitzgeraldM
- 31M. NoonanF
- 10G. BurkeF
- 18J. AfolabiF
- 19A. BrennanM
- 9A. GreeneF
- 88J. McGovernF
- 11J. MulraneyM
- 26John O'SullivanM
- 27C. O'SullivanD
- 25L. SteacyG
Form going into St Patrick's Athletic vs Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athletic
No earlier matches on record this season.
Shamrock Rovers
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Bohemians4 September 2026
- D0-0Shelbourne4 September 2026
- D3-3away to Derry City30 August 2026
- L0-1away to KuPS27 August 2026
- D1-1KuPS20 August 2026
What these results say
- Shamrock Rovers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | St Patrick's Athletic | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 60 |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 68 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: St Patrick's Athletic and Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athletic
GoalsAssists
- A. Keena104
- R. Edmondson101
- K. Leavy63
Shamrock Rovers
GoalsAssists
- J. McGovern107
- G. Burke84
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
St Patrick's Athletic beat Shamrock Rovers 2–0. The model had made a win for St Patrick's Athletic its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Jason McClelland 4' for St Patrick's Athletic, Aidan Keena 33' for St Patrick's Athletic.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.