Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Drogheda United 2-0 Sligo Rovers.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Drogheda United, 29% draw, 31% Sligo Rovers — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Drogheda United at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers
Line-ups
- 1L. DennisonG
- 4A. QuinnD
- 22C. KeeleyD
- 5Leo BurneyD
- 2E. AgbajeM
- 15A. BatesM
- 10B. KavanaghM
- 8Ethan O'BrienM
- 3C. KaneM
- 24W. DavisF
- 11T. OluwaF
- 61Conor CannonM
- 44Fynn Michael Cordell TalleyG
- 36theo hennessyG
- 31K. CruiseD
- 19R. BrennanM
- 25R. MarkeyF
- 29J. BrennanD
- 33S. McGrathM
- 32D. MareD
- 29S. SargeantG
- 4S. QuirkD
- 15O. DenhamD
- 52G. McElroyD
- 3Sean StewartD
- 20T. GeorgeM
- 6L. YoungM
- 16C. McHughM
- 7J. ShorrockM
- 9L. PearceF
- 41K. WooleryF
- 1Liam John HughesG
- 50Ruben Gillespie
- 19A. NolanM
- 23K. McDonaghM
- 14J. McManusM
- 11C. KavanaghF
- 61Conor CannonD
- 24J. O'DonnellF
- 10A. MeekisonF
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Drogheda United | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 37 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 64 | -38 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
GoalsAssists
- M. Doyle90
Sligo Rovers
GoalsAssists
- C. Kavanagh62
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Drogheda United beat Sligo Rovers 2–0. The model had made a win for Drogheda United its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Warren Davis 38' for Drogheda United, Edwin Agbaje 45+3' for Drogheda United.