Galway United vs Bohemians Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Galway United 2-3 Bohemians.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Galway United, 30% draw, 38% Bohemians — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bohemians at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Galway United vs Bohemians
Line-ups
- 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
- 15O. WilliamsD
- 2A. O'ConnorD
- 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
- 3Connor BarrattM
- 4J. KeohaneM
- 20L. DevittM
- 8A. BolgerM
- 30A. KazeemM
- 7S. WalshF
- 11K. TwardekF
- 21D. ConnollyF
- 10D. HurleyM
- 9F. LombotoF
- 24E. McCarthyM
- 28J. MorahanD
- 23F. PierrotF
- 17Junior ThiamM
- 32Vincent AngeliniG
- 54C. WhittakerM
- 25P. WaltersG
- 16D. PowerD
- 12P. HickeyD
- 24C. ByrneD
- 15S. MullenD
- 10D. DevoyM
- 6J. FloresM
- 7C. ParsonsM
- 26R. TierneyM
- 8H. VaughanM
- 18D. James-TaylorF
- 9C. WhelanF
- 5S. DialloM
- 1K. ChorążkaG
- 3R. BurkeD
- 41P. MaddenF
- 17A. McDonnellM
- 4N. MorahanM
- 23Zane MyersD
- 32M. StrodsM
Form going into Galway United vs Bohemians
Galway United
No earlier matches on record this season.
Bohemians
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Shamrock Rovers4 September 2026
- L2-3away to FC Midtjylland13 August 2026
- L0-2FC Midtjylland6 August 2026
- L2-3away to Ballkani30 July 2026
- W2-1Ballkani22 July 2026
What these results say
- Bohemians conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Bohemians failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bohemians scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Galway United | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 42 | +18 | 62 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Galway United and Bohemians
Galway United
GoalsAssists
- K. Twardek86
- J. Keohane73
Bohemians
GoalsAssists
- C. Whelan136
- R. Tierney113
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bohemians won 3–2 at Galway United. The model had made a win for Bohemians its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Stephen Walsh 31' for Galway United, Kristopher Twardek 53' for Galway United, Colm Whelan 74' for Bohemians, Ross Tierney 81' for Bohemians, Colm Whelan 89' for Bohemians.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.