Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 Cerro Porteno.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Sportivo Luqueno, 27% draw, 41% Cerro Porteno — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cerro Porteno at 41% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1N. CampisiG
- 22S. OcamposD
- 2M. BarretoD
- 6F. WiechniakD
- 23A. CanteroD
- 8A. MaízM
- 10G. BogadoM
- 14F. BenitezM
- 11Ó. RuízF
- 20I. MaggiF
- 25J. RamosF
- 30T. FrancoM
- 28A. BalbuenaD
- 3Á. BrizuelaD
- 9W. GonzálezF
- 12F. MongelosG
- 29T. MuroM
- 21M. OjedaM
- 7K. PereiraF
- 19M. PérezF
- 12A. MartínezG
- 2F. DomínguezD
- 4A. CañeteD
- 6L. MerollaD
- 15B. RiverosD
- 14L. QuintanaM
- 31I. AlisedaM
- 32C. BobadillaM
- 18A. GamarraM
- 7D. RodríguezM
- 19P. VegettiF
- 13G. BenítezD
- 34C. ChenaM
- 28C. FrancoF
- 30G. GiménezM
- 40M. KlimowiczM
- 5J. MorelM
- 16I. RamírezD
- 1M. RoffoG
- 27J. TorresF
Form going into Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
- L2-3away to Sportivo Trinidense5 October 2026
- L0-1Club Guarani25 September 2026
- W1-0Deportivo Recoleta20 September 2026
- L0-3away to Olimpia13 September 2026
Cerro Porteno
- L0-22 de Mayo5 October 2026
- L1-2away to Sportivo Trinidense26 September 2026
- W1-0Rubio NU19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Club Guarani12 September 2026
What these results say
- Sportivo Luqueno failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sportivo Luqueno conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cerro Porteno failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cerro Porteno scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cerro Porteno conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
- 1 August 2026Cerro Porteno 3–0 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 31 March 2026Sportivo Luqueno 2–3 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 2 February 2026Cerro Porteno 2–0 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 27 September 2025Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 20 July 2025Cerro Porteno 0–0 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 12 April 2025Cerro Porteno 0–0 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
Leading scorers: Sportivo Luqueno and Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Cerro Porteno
GoalsAssists
- P. Vegetti70
- D. Rodríguez43
- I. Ramírez32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.