Spartak Trnava
vs
AS Trencin
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Spartak Trnava 2–0 AS Trencin
The model makes it 66% Spartak Trnava, 21% draw, 13% AS Trencin — fair odds of 1.52, 4.76 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Spartak Trnava 2.32, AS Trencin 0.79.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Spartak Trnava are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Spartak Trnava's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and AS Trencin's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Spartak Trnava are 4th on 25 points from 14 games; AS Trencin are bottom on 10 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Spartak Trnava have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Dukla Banská Bystrica.
- AS Trencin are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Slovan Bratislava.
- Last 6 meetings: Spartak Trnava 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 23 August 2026, ended AS Trencin 0–4 Spartak Trnava.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Spartak Trnava vs AS Trencin
Has the model earned this number?
Spartak Trnava at 66%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Spartak Trnava vs AS Trencin
Spartak Trnava
Super Liga
- W2-1away to Dukla Banská Bystrica7 November 2026
- L1-2Komárno31 October 2026
- D1-1away to Skalica24 October 2026
- L0-3Slovan Bratislava17 October 2026
- W3-1away to Podbrezová11 October 2026
AS Trencin
Super Liga
- D2-2away to Slovan Bratislava7 November 2026
- L0-5FK Košice31 October 2026
- L0-2Slovan Bratislava28 October 2026
- D0-0away to Komárno25 October 2026
- W2-0away to Skalica17 October 2026
What these results say
- Spartak Trnava conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Spartak Trnava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Spartak Trnava had three goals or more.
- AS Trencin failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spartak Trnava | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 25 |
| 12 | AS Trencin | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Spartak Trnava vs AS Trencin
- 23 August 2026AS Trencin 0–4 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 2 November 2025Spartak Trnava 4–0 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 3 August 2025AS Trencin 0–1 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 27 October 2024AS Trencin 2–3 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 28 July 2024Spartak Trnava 0–0 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 29 October 2023AS Trencin 2–3 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Spartak Trnava and AS Trencin
Spartak Trnava
GoalsAssists
- T. Kudlička31
AS Trencin
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Spartak Trnava the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.32 expected goals for Spartak Trnava against 0.79 for AS Trencin. Spartak Trnava's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.43 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/2.01 for AS Trencin.
How the model reaches 66% for Spartak Trnava to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Spartak Trnava to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Spartak Trnava's ratings add 11 points and AS Trencin's ratings add 11 points, which lands on the published 66%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Spartak Trnava's ratings55%+11
- AS Trencin's ratings66%+11
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Spartak Trnava at home · AS Trencin away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Spartak Trnava 14, AS Trencin 14.
Spartak Trnava score most often in the 31–45 minute window (8 goals); AS Trencin have let in 4 there.
AS Trencin score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); Spartak Trnava have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Spartak Trnava
- at Žilina5 Dec · Super Ligawin 31%
- vs Ružomberok12 Dec · Super Ligawin 66%
- at FK Košice6 Feb · Super Ligawin 34%
- vs Dunajska Streda13 Feb · Super Ligawin 30%
AS Trencin
- at Ružomberok5 Dec · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Zemplín Michalovce12 Dec · Super Ligawin 41%
- at Dunajska Streda6 Feb · Super Ligawin 7%
- vs Žilina13 Feb · Super Ligawin 26%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.