Sparta Praha vs Teplice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sparta Praha 4-1 Teplice.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Sparta Praha, 23% draw, 25% Teplice — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sparta Praha at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sparta Praha vs Teplice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 44J. SurovcikG
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 6T. GuddalD
- 25A. SorensenD
- 11M. RynesD
- 28R. MacekM
- 18A. IrvingM
- 17J. MercadoM
- 10A. KarabecM
- 7J. AlcocerM
- 14J. BrunesF
- 47K. HegyiG
- 19A. SevinskyD
- 30J. ZelenyD
- 15V. Vitalyos
- 5S. EnemeM
- 31M. JurasekM
- 24D. HollyM
- 38H. SochurekM
- 29M. VojtaF
- 29M. TrmalG
- 6M. BilekD
- 4O. Vientiess
- 28D. VecerkaD
- 25M. Riznic
- 8J. FortelnyM
- 23L. MarecekM
- 35M. RadostaM
- 12M. CermakM
- 17J. Auta
- 10M. PulkrabF
- 31K. LichtenbergG
- 22L. TakacsD
- 13D. TaradudaD
- 5J. JakubkoD
- 14L. KrejciM
- 16P. KodesM
- 3J. SvandaM
- 37D. MarecekM
- 11M. KozakF
Form going into Sparta Praha vs Teplice
Sparta Praha
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Lyon11 August 2026
- L0-2away to Mlada Boleslav8 August 2026
- W2-1Lyon4 August 2026
- W3-1Zlin31 July 2026
- L1-3away to Zbrojovka Brno25 July 2026
Teplice
All competitions we cover
- D5-5Plzen8 August 2026
- W1-0away to Slovan Liberec1 August 2026
- W3-1Bohemians 190525 July 2026
What these results say
- Sparta Praha conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Sparta Praha had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 24 |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sparta Praha vs Teplice
- 12 April 2026Teplice 0–1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
- 9 November 2025Sparta Praha 2–2 TepliceCzech Liga
- 9 April 2025Sparta Praha 3–2 TepliceCup
- 23 November 2024Sparta Praha 1–1 TepliceCzech Liga
- 27 July 2024Teplice 1–4 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Sparta Praha and Teplice
Sparta Praha
GoalsAssists
- J. Braut Brunes62
- J. Mercado51
- J. Alcócer41
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- M. Pulkrab43
- John Auta40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sparta Praha beat Teplice 4–1. The model had made a win for Sparta Praha its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: T. Guddal 9' for Sparta Praha, L. Marecek 25' for Teplice, A. Irving 36' for Sparta Praha, J. Alcocer 39' for Sparta Praha, J. Alcocer 84' for Sparta Praha. Sent off: L. Takacs (Teplice) 88'. On expected goals it finished 2.12–0.82.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.