Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Liberec 1-1 Slavia Praha.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Slovan Liberec, 18% draw, 67% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 6.67, 5.56 and 1.49.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Praha at 67%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 40T. KoubekG
- 29L. HulkaD
- 14A. DrakpeD
- 3J. MikulaD
- 18J. KozeluhM
- 8L. MasopustM
- 60F. FayeM
- 27A. KayondoM
- 7A. SoliuF
- 15M. LexaF
- 99R. KrollisF
- 33L. PeslG
- 41D. DobesG
- 5P. HodousD
- 16A. BuzekM
- 10Q. ZybaM
- 28V. SychraM
- 12V. StranskyM
- 77D. Rus
- 94V. BaboulaF
- 35J. MarkovicG
- 3T. HolesD
- 4D. ZimaD
- 42M. KonecnyD
- 14S. IsifeM
- 30W. NowakM
- 23M. SadilekM
- 15M. SuleimanM
- 20E. AyaosiF
- 17L. ProvodF
- 13M. ChytilF
- 29N. DomchakG
- 2S. ChaloupekD
- 27T. VlcekD
- 6A. N'GuessanD
- 8O. KubiakD
- 16D. MosesM
- 22T. DiakiteM
- 32P. KacorM
- 26I. SchranzF
Form going into Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Zbrojovka Brno7 August 2026
- L0-1Teplice1 August 2026
- W3-1away to Plzen25 July 2026
Slavia Praha
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Pardubice9 August 2026
- W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 August 2026
- W5-1Slovácko26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 26 |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha
- 2 May 2026Slovan Liberec 1–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 21 February 2026Slavia Praha 1–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 21 September 2025Slovan Liberec 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 1 December 2024Slavia Praha 1–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 2 August 2024Slovan Liberec 0–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slovan Liberec and Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
GoalsAssists
- L. Mašek40
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- M. Chytil61
- E. Ayaosi53
- W. Nowak51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slovan Liberec and Slavia Praha drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Slavia Praha at 67% and given a draw 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: T. Holes 15' for Slavia Praha, V. Baboula 72' for Slovan Liberec. On expected goals it finished 1.48–0.67.