Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovácko 1-2 Sigma Olomouc.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Slovácko, 28% draw, 22% Sigma Olomouc — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Slovácko at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 34P. HalouskaG
- 21S. SloncikD
- 22J. BehiratcheD
- 4A. Stojcevski
- 2G. NdefeM
- 6M. SviderskyM
- 10M. TravnikM
- 15P. BlahutM
- 20M. HavlikF
- 9A. MarinelliF
- 7G. NiarchosF
- 33A. UrbanG
- 23D. StepanekD
- 24M. KoscelnikD
- 19T. KralD
- 28L. PriorD
- 16G. SossehM
- 14A. AlabiD
- 72L. VorlickyM
- 25P. NdubuisiD
- 91J. KoutnyG
- 2A. SyllaD
- 33M. MalyD
- 3L. LurvinkD
- 70A. GhaliM
- 88P. BarathM
- 7M. BeranM
- 29A. EkerothM
- 39D. JanosekF
- 23F. KrivakF
- 10V. SejkF
- 98M. HruskaG
- 16F. SlavicekD
- 26S. NoumbissieD
- 22M. HadasD
- 14M. SoldoM
- 8J. SpacilM
- 24D. TkacM
- 25M. MikulenkaF
- 9J. KlimentF
Form going into Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc
Slovácko
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to FK Jablonec9 August 2026
- D1-1Artis1 August 2026
- L1-5away to Slavia Praha26 July 2026
Sigma Olomouc
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Artis9 August 2026
- D2-2Mlada Boleslav2 August 2026
- L1-2away to FK Jablonec26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Slovácko | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc
- 19 April 2026Sigma Olomouc 2–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 20 July 2025Slovácko 0–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 13 April 2025Slovácko 2–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 27 November 2024Sigma Olomouc 2–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 2 December 2023Sigma Olomouc 1–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slovácko and Sigma Olomouc
Slovácko
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Sigma Olomouc
GoalsAssists
- V. Sejk63
- A. Ghali42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sigma Olomouc won 2–1 at Slovácko. The model had leaned towards a win for Slovácko at 50% and given a win for Sigma Olomouc 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: L. Lurvink 45' for Sigma Olomouc, P. Barath 67' for Sigma Olomouc, P. Ndubuisi 79' for Slovácko. On expected goals it finished 1.04–2.02.