Sochaux vs Nantes Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Sochaux 1-0 Nantes.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Sochaux, 30% draw, 41% Nantes — fair odds of 3.45, 3.33 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nantes at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sochaux vs Nantes
Line-ups
- 40M. JeanninG
- 17B. YoussoufD
- 14M. PeybernesD
- 26E. N'GattaD
- 42Dylan TavaresD
- 21B. DiawaraM
- 23J. MassonM
- 10B. FofanaM
- 5S. BaghdadiM
- 7B. GomelM
- 9K. DjocoF
- 91M. ClairiciaF
- 11L. DeedsonF
- 24Y. DemoncyM
- 3D. GomisD
- 19V. LobryM
- 15J. MexiqueM
- 77L. NomelF
- 30A. PierreG
- 4A. VitelliD
- 1M. DupéG
- 75A. CherniD
- 5L. PerrinD
- 4S. SowD
- 98K. AmianD
- 8J. LepenantM
- 13F. DoucouréM
- 44B. PierretM
- 26R. HachemM
- 20M. CafaroM
- 27T. RobinetF
- 78T. TatiD
- 17D. AssoumaniM
- 28I. SissokoM
- 19Louis LerouxM
- 37I. GanagoF
- 7A. JoujouF
- 24F. GuilbertD
- 30P. CarlgrenG
- 23W. YounoussaM
Form going into Sochaux vs Nantes
Sochaux
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to PAU4 September 2026
- D0-0away to Clermont Foot28 August 2026
- W1-0Guingamp21 August 2026
- D0-0away to RED Star FC 9314 August 2026
- L0-3Saint Etienne8 August 2026
Nantes
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Nancy7 September 2026
- D3-3away to Guingamp29 August 2026
- L2-5Rodez22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Laval14 August 2026
- L0-1RED Star FC 938 August 2026
What these results say
- Sochaux failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Sochaux had two goals or fewer.
- Nantes failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nantes scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nantes conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sochaux vs Nantes
- 18 December 2021Sochaux 0–0 NantesCoupe de France
- 2 March 2016Sochaux 3–2 NantesCoupe de France
- 1 February 2014Sochaux 1–0 NantesLigue 1
- 14 September 2013Nantes 1–0 SochauxLigue 1
The result against the call
Sochaux beat Nantes 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Nantes at 41% and given a win for Sochaux 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Benjamin Gomel 61' for Sochaux.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.