Rodez vs Grenoble Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Rodez 0-1 Grenoble.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Rodez, 29% draw, 32% Grenoble — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rodez at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rodez vs Grenoble
Line-ups
- 16L. MargueronG
- 13C. RoubiouD
- 24L. QuenabioD
- 4M. MagninD
- 3R. LipinskiD
- 20R. PontiD
- 6J. MendesM
- 8D. PavlovićM
- 29Antonin CartillierM
- 7K. NageraF
- 21K. NsonaF
- 10M. SakaM
- 11M. TouhoF
- 17L. Vungele VangiD
- 30E. CrombezG
- 27M. Essimi AtebaF
- 15E. Jean-LambertD
- 22O. JolyM
- 28S. Luyambula BiwaD
- 9N. NsingiF
- 1A. OllieroG
- 19N. ZahuiD
- 43A. PelonD
- 5C. VidalD
- 27M. XantippeD
- 6Y. MagninM
- 92J. Akpa AkproM
- 30S. DibaM
- 8L. BernadouM
- 10B. MouazanM
- 12U. BonnetF
- 23D. HoogewerfF
- 14M. CorbozM
- 2M. DjittéF
- 47K. FofanaF
- 21Owen KouassiD
- 97Y. MaçonD
- 46J. MoutonD
- 16B. AllainG
- 48S. NiakatéD
Form going into Rodez vs Grenoble
Rodez
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Metz5 September 2026
- D2-2PAU28 August 2026
- W5-2away to Nantes22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Annecy14 August 2026
- W3-1Laval8 August 2026
Grenoble
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Annecy4 September 2026
- W3-0away to Laval28 August 2026
- L0-4away to Saint Etienne22 August 2026
- D0-0Metz14 August 2026
- L2-4away to Dunkerque8 August 2026
What these results say
- Rodez conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rodez scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rodez had three goals or more.
- Grenoble failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Grenoble had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rodez vs Grenoble
- 6 March 2026Rodez 1–0 GrenobleLigue 2
- 7 November 2025Grenoble 2–1 RodezLigue 2
- 25 July 2025Grenoble 1–0 RodezFriendlies Clubs
- 31 January 2025Grenoble 2–1 RodezLigue 2
- 4 October 2024Rodez 2–1 GrenobleLigue 2
- 19 July 2024Rodez 0–0 GrenobleFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Rodez and Grenoble
Rodez
GoalsAssists
- I. Baldé50
Grenoble
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Grenoble won 1–0 at Rodez. The model had leaned towards a win for Rodez at 39% and given a win for Grenoble 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Matthéo Xantippe 11' for Grenoble.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.