Rodez vs Grenoble Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Rodez 0-1 Grenoble.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Rodez, 29% draw, 32% Grenoble — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rodez at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rodez vs Grenoble
Line-ups
- 16L. MargueronG
- 13C. RoubiouD
- 24L. QuenabioD
- 4M. MagninD
- 3R. LipinskiD
- 20R. PontiD
- 6J. MendesM
- 8D. PavlovićM
- 29Antonin CartillierM
- 7K. NageraF
- 21K. NsonaF
- 10M. SakaM
- 11M. TouhoF
- 17L. Vungele VangiD
- 30E. CrombezG
- 27M. Essimi AtebaF
- 15E. Jean-LambertD
- 22O. JolyM
- 28S. Luyambula BiwaD
- 9N. NsingiF
- 1A. OllieroG
- 19N. ZahuiD
- 43A. PelonD
- 5C. VidalD
- 27M. XantippeD
- 6Y. MagninM
- 92J. Akpa AkproM
- 30S. DibaM
- 8L. BernadouM
- 10B. MouazanM
- 12U. BonnetF
- 23D. HoogewerfF
- 14M. CorbozM
- 2M. DjittéF
- 47K. FofanaF
- 21Owen KouassiD
- 97Y. MaçonD
- 46J. MoutonD
- 16B. AllainG
- 48S. NiakatéD
Form going into Rodez vs Grenoble
Rodez
- L1-4away to Metz5 September 2026
- D2-2PAU28 August 2026
- W5-2away to Nantes22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Annecy14 August 2026
Grenoble
- L1-2Annecy4 September 2026
- W3-0away to Laval28 August 2026
- L0-4away to Saint Etienne22 August 2026
- D0-0Metz14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rodez | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rodez vs Grenoble
- 6 March 2026Rodez 1–0 GrenobleLigue 2
- 7 November 2025Grenoble 2–1 RodezLigue 2
- 25 July 2025Grenoble 1–0 RodezFriendlies Clubs
- 31 January 2025Grenoble 2–1 RodezLigue 2
- 4 October 2024Rodez 2–1 GrenobleLigue 2
- 19 July 2024Rodez 0–0 GrenobleFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Rodez and Grenoble
Rodez
- I. Baldé5 goals
- C. Roubiou2 goals
- O. Joly2 goals
Grenoble
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.