Guingamp vs Annecy Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Guingamp 2-1 Annecy.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Guingamp, 29% draw, 33% Annecy — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Guingamp at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Guingamp vs Annecy
Line-ups
- 16Adrián OrtoláG
- 2E. KoffiD
- 7D. GomisD
- 36A. DemouchyD
- 5T. OllilaD
- 11T. AverlantM
- 25T. DucrocqM
- 4D. LouiserreM
- 20S. Ben BrahimM
- 21T. AhileF
- 18S. KieltF
- 23J. ChamakhF
- 22B. BokanguM
- 1T. BartoucheG
- 32I. DiakiteM
- 24J. DiangangaD
- 31J. MatondoM
- 39Vimoj Muntu Wa MunguD
- 17A. SamouraF
- 8F. Da SilvaM
- 1F. EscalesG
- 41T. DelphisD
- 23M. VeillonD
- 26A. Do MarcolinoD
- 27J. KouadioD
- 25P. VenotM
- 5A. KashiM
- 22C. BillemazM
- 12K. YoungF
- 9T. RambaudF
- 17Z. RedmondF
- 19K. VeniereM
- 33Gabin SecrétantD
- 15P. MozieM
- 21E. MarreD
- 28A. LaroseF
- 14M. KonéM
- 80M. SahiF
- 16T. CallensG
Form going into Guingamp vs Annecy
Guingamp
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Reims5 September 2026
- D3-3Nantes29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sochaux21 August 2026
- W1-0Boulogne14 August 2026
- L1-2away to Metz8 August 2026
Annecy
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Grenoble4 September 2026
- D1-1Metz29 August 2026
- L1-3away to Reims24 August 2026
- W2-0Rodez14 August 2026
- W1-0away to PAU8 August 2026
What these results say
- Guingamp failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Guingamp scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Guingamp conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Annecy scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guingamp vs Annecy
- 3 April 2026Annecy 1–0 GuingampLigue 2
- 5 December 2025Guingamp 0–3 AnnecyLigue 2
- 10 January 2025Annecy 1–4 GuingampLigue 2
- 20 September 2024Guingamp 2–2 AnnecyLigue 2
- 3 February 2024Guingamp 1–4 AnnecyLigue 2
- 5 August 2023Annecy 1–4 GuingampLigue 2
Leading scorers: Guingamp and Annecy
Guingamp
GoalsAssists
- B. Bokangu40
- S. Ben Brahim30
Annecy
GoalsAssists
- M. Sahi50
- T. Rambaud30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Guingamp beat Annecy 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Guingamp at 38%. The goals: Thibault Rambaud 13' for Annecy, Tanguy Ahile 62' for Guingamp, Brandon Bokangu 66' for Guingamp.
How the call on Guingamp v Annecy has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 36% / 29% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Guingamp's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Guingamp win38%▲ +2
- Draw29%=
- Annecy win33%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.