Nancy vs Reims Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Nancy 1-2 Reims.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Nancy, 29% draw, 31% Reims — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nancy at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nancy vs Reims
Line-ups
- 1E. BasilioG
- 44E. TacafredD
- 77Y. NahounouD
- 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
- 22L. NdenbeD
- 6K. KebeM
- 9I. HousniM
- 45C. El HansarM
- 8W. BouabdelliM
- 12El HadariM
- 10A. DabasseF
- 11I. CisseF
- 7Z. FdaouchF
- 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
- 25J. GélinM
- 70N. KandilF
- 30G. LembetG
- 5P. Meïssa BaF
- 14N. Saint-RufD
- 2H. TavaresD
- 1T. HülsmannG
- 63A. ZohouriD
- 28N. AhouononD
- 22S. KottoD
- 27D. GuindoD
- 61C. KouranfalM
- 6T. LeoniM
- 87A. TiaM
- 8Y. FofanaM
- 9M. DaramyM
- 99S. SoumanoF
- 21J. MambukuD
- 12E. OmeragicG
- 5John OtomewoD
- 30J. PatrickM
- 10Y. El KachatiF
- 48A. GadouF
- 53T. DeflorenneM
- 18Sergio AkiemeD
- 44M. OkwaroD
Form going into Nancy vs Reims
Nancy
- L0-1away to Nantes7 September 2026
- W2-0Dunkerque28 August 2026
- W1-0away to PAU21 August 2026
- L0-1Montpellier14 August 2026
Reims
- D2-2Guingamp5 September 2026
- W4-1away to RED Star FC 9329 August 2026
- W3-1Annecy24 August 2026
- D3-3Dunkerque14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nancy vs Reims
- 25 April 2026Reims 1–1 NancyLigue 2
- 26 September 2025Nancy 0–1 ReimsLigue 2
- 31 March 2018Nancy 0–2 ReimsLigue 2
- 28 October 2017Reims 3–0 NancyLigue 2
- 9 February 2013Nancy 1–2 ReimsLigue 1
- 22 September 2012Reims 2–0 NancyLigue 1
Leading scorers: Nancy and Reims
Nancy
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Reims
- Y. Fofana5 goals
- Y. El Kachati2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.