Nancy vs Reims Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Nancy 1-2 Reims.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Nancy, 29% draw, 31% Reims — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nancy at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nancy vs Reims
Line-ups
- 1E. BasilioG
- 44E. TacafredD
- 77Y. NahounouD
- 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
- 22L. NdenbeD
- 6K. KebeM
- 9I. HousniM
- 45C. El HansarM
- 8W. BouabdelliM
- 12El HadariM
- 10A. DabasseF
- 11I. CisseF
- 7Z. FdaouchF
- 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
- 25J. GélinM
- 70N. KandilF
- 30G. LembetG
- 5P. Meïssa BaF
- 14N. Saint-RufD
- 2H. TavaresD
- 1T. HülsmannG
- 63A. ZohouriD
- 28N. AhouononD
- 22S. KottoD
- 27D. GuindoD
- 61C. KouranfalM
- 6T. LeoniM
- 87A. TiaM
- 8Y. FofanaM
- 9M. DaramyM
- 99S. SoumanoF
- 21J. MambukuD
- 12E. OmeragicG
- 5John OtomewoD
- 30J. PatrickM
- 10Y. El KachatiF
- 48A. GadouF
- 53T. DeflorenneM
- 18Sergio AkiemeD
- 44M. OkwaroD
Form going into Nancy vs Reims
Nancy
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Nantes7 September 2026
- W2-0Dunkerque28 August 2026
- W1-0away to PAU21 August 2026
- L0-1Montpellier14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Boulogne8 August 2026
Reims
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Guingamp5 September 2026
- W4-1away to RED Star FC 9329 August 2026
- W3-1Annecy24 August 2026
- D3-3Dunkerque14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Clermont Foot8 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Nancy had two goals or fewer.
- Reims went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Reims scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Reims conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nancy vs Reims
- 25 April 2026Reims 1–1 NancyLigue 2
- 26 September 2025Nancy 0–1 ReimsLigue 2
- 31 March 2018Nancy 0–2 ReimsLigue 2
- 28 October 2017Reims 3–0 NancyLigue 2
- 9 February 2013Nancy 1–2 ReimsLigue 1
- 22 September 2012Reims 2–0 NancyLigue 1
Leading scorers: Nancy and Reims
Nancy
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Reims
GoalsAssists
- Y. Fofana81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Reims won 2–1 at Nancy. The model had leaned towards a win for Nancy at 40% and given a win for Reims 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Yaya Fofana 29' for Reims, Chamsedin Kouranfal 38' for Reims, Nordine Kandil 78' for Nancy.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.