Regular Season - 16 · 28 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Slovan Bratislava vs FK Košice Super Liga prediction

Bratislava

Our model says: Slovan Bratislava 2–1 FK Košice

The model makes it 60% Slovan Bratislava, 22% draw, 18% FK Košice — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).

Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 2.41, FK Košice 1.12.

Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.

Edge to Slovan Bratislava: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Slovan Bratislava's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and FK Košice's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Slovan Bratislava are 2nd on 28 points from 14 games; FK Košice are 6th on 18 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
  • Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to AS Trencin.
  • FK Košice have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Dunajska Streda.
  • Last 6 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 August 2026, ended FK Košice 1–2 Slovan Bratislava.

More Slovak Super Liga predictions

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Slovan Bratislava vs FK Košice

62%
Both teams to score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Slovan Bratislava win Draw FK Košice win
  1. 2–110%
  2. 2–09%
  3. 1–18%
  4. 3–18%
  5. 3–07%
  6. 1–07%
  7. 2–25%

Scores read Slovan Bratislava first; the other scorelines share the remaining 46%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Slovan Bratislava at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs FK Košice

Slovan Bratislava

Super Liga

  • D2-2AS Trencin7 November 2026
  • W2-1away to Podbrezová31 October 2026
  • W2-0away to AS Trencin28 October 2026
  • D2-2Dukla Banská Bystrica24 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Spartak Trnava17 October 2026

FK Košice

Super Liga

  • L2-3away to Dunajska Streda7 November 2026
  • W5-0away to AS Trencin31 October 2026
  • L0-1Dunajska Streda28 October 2026
  • D2-2Žilina25 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Zemplín Michalovce18 October 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Slovan Bratislava148423215+1728
6FK Košice144643226+618

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

FK Košice

Chance to finish in the top six · 86% today

Win 94%
Draw 89%
Defeat 84%

From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs FK Košice

  • 22 August 2026FK Košice 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 6 December 2025FK Košice 2–0 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 31 August 2025Slovan Bratislava 3–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 17 May 2025Slovan Bratislava 1–0 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 12 March 2025FK Košice 0–1 Slovan BratislavaCup
  • 9 March 2025FK Košice 2–3 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Slovan Bratislava and FK Košice

Slovan Bratislava

GoalsAssists

  • T. Barseghyan42
  • Tag Eldin Ibrahim40
  • Manasse Kianga22

FK Košice

GoalsAssists

  • Aleksa Maraš63
  • M. Sovič23
  • O. Kakay21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Slovan Bratislava a 1.6% chance of the title and FK Košice 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Slovan Bratislava FK Košice
0.8 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.76
1.22 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.85
2.41 Model expected goals (this match) 1.12

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.41 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava against 1.12 for FK Košice. Slovan Bratislava's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.85 for FK Košice.

Slovan Bratislava carry a model rating of 6.64 against 6.42 for FK Košice.

How the model reaches 60% for Slovan Bratislava to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Slovan Bratislava to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, Slovan Bratislava's ratings add 6 points and FK Košice's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 60%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Both sides at this match's level46%+2
  4. Slovan Bratislava's ratings52%+6
  5. FK Košice's ratings60%+8

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Slovan BratislavaFK Košice
14Matches14
8W 4D 2LRecord4W 6D 4L
32 2.3 per gameGoals scored32 2.3 per game
15 1.1 per gameGoals conceded26 1.9 per game
5 of 14Clean sheets3 of 14
1 of 14Failed to score1 of 14
1 of 2Penalties scored3 of 3
19 1.4 per gameYellow cards25 1.8 per game
0Red cards2
4-1-4-1 8×Usual shape3-4-1-2 4×

Slovan Bratislava at home · FK Košice away

6Played7
2W 3D 1LRecord2W 3D 2L
16–9Goals for – against20–17
2 of 6Clean sheets1 of 7

League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super Liga matches this season: Slovan Bratislava 14, FK Košice 14.

Slovan Bratislava scored 633749
FK Košice conceded 234664

Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); FK Košice have let in 4 there.

FK Košice scored 867345
Slovan Bratislava conceded 202416

FK Košice score most often in the 0–15 minute window (8 goals); Slovan Bratislava have let in 2 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Slovan Bratislava

  • at Zemplín Michalovce5 Dec · Super Ligawin 53%
  • vs Shakhtar Donetsk9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 31%
  • vs Dunajska Streda13 Dec · Super Ligawin 37%

FK Košice

  • vs Podbrezová6 Dec · Super Ligawin 50%
  • at Dukla Banská Bystrica13 Dec · Super Ligawin 41%
  • vs Spartak Trnava6 Feb · Super Ligawin 41%
  • at Ružomberok13 Feb · Super Ligawin 47%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.