Dukla Banská Bystrica
vs
Ružomberok
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–0 Ružomberok
The model makes it 48% Dukla Banská Bystrica, 28% draw, 24% Ružomberok — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Dukla Banská Bystrica 1.52, Ružomberok 0.93.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Dukla Banská Bystrica's rating is built from 14 Slovak Super Liga matches and Ružomberok's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Dukla Banská Bystrica are 7th on 14 points from 14 games; Ružomberok are 10th on 12 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Spartak Trnava.
- Ružomberok have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Podbrezová.
- Last 6 meetings: Ružomberok 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 August 2026, ended Ružomberok 0–1 Dukla Banská Bystrica.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Ružomberok
Has the model earned this number?
Dukla Banská Bystrica at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Ružomberok
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Super Liga
- L1-2Spartak Trnava7 November 2026
- L0-2Dunajska Streda1 November 2026
- D2-2away to Slovan Bratislava24 October 2026
- W1-0Podbrezová18 October 2026
- W1-0away to AS Trencin10 October 2026
Ružomberok
Super Liga
- L1-4away to Podbrezová8 November 2026
- W1-0Skalica1 November 2026
- L0-5away to Dunajska Streda24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Komárno17 October 2026
- D2-2Žilina11 October 2026
What these results say
- Dukla Banská Bystrica scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ružomberok scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 | Ružomberok | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 21% today
Ružomberok
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 66% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Ružomberok
- 22 August 2026Ružomberok 0–1 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 20 January 2026Ružomberok 4–1 Dukla Banská BystricaFriendlies Clubs
- 4 May 2025Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–2 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 16 April 2025Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–2 RužomberokCup
- 6 April 2025Ružomberok 1–2 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 1 April 2025Ružomberok 2–1 Dukla Banská BystricaCup
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dukla Banská Bystrica the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Dukla Banská Bystrica against 0.93 for Ružomberok. Dukla Banská Bystrica's attack/defence rating is 0.47/1.79 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.43/1.99 for Ružomberok.
How the model reaches 48% for Dukla Banská Bystrica to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dukla Banská Bystrica to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Dukla Banská Bystrica's ratings add 2 points and Ružomberok's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 48%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level43%−1
- Dukla Banská Bystrica's ratings45%+2
- Ružomberok's ratings48%+3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Dukla Banská Bystrica at home · Ružomberok away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Dukla Banská Bystrica 14, Ružomberok 14.
Dukla Banská Bystrica score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Ružomberok have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Dukla Banská Bystrica
- at Komárno5 Dec · Super Ligawin 26%
- vs FK Košice13 Dec · Super Ligawin 33%
- at Skalica6 Feb · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Zemplín Michalovce13 Feb · Super Ligawin 43%
Ružomberok
- vs AS Trencin5 Dec · Super Ligawin 41%
- at Spartak Trnava12 Dec · Super Ligawin 13%
- at Zemplín Michalovce6 Feb · Super Ligawin 25%
- vs FK Košice13 Feb · Super Ligawin 28%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.