Podbrezová
vs
Dunajska Streda
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Podbrezová 1–2 Dunajska Streda
The model makes it 24% Podbrezová, 25% draw, 51% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 4.17, 4.00 and 1.96.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Podbrezová 1.16, Dunajska Streda 1.94.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Dunajska Streda are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Podbrezová's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Dunajska Streda's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Podbrezová are 5th on 20 points from 14 games; Dunajska Streda are top on 38 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Podbrezová have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-1 win at home to Ružomberok.
- Dunajska Streda are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 3-2 win at home to FK Košice.
- Last 6 meetings: Dunajska Streda 6 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 August 2026, ended Dunajska Streda 5–0 Podbrezová.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Podbrezová vs Dunajska Streda
Has the model earned this number?
Dunajska Streda at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Podbrezová vs Dunajska Streda
Podbrezová
Super Liga
- W4-1Ružomberok8 November 2026
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava31 October 2026
- W4-1away to Zemplín Michalovce24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Dukla Banská Bystrica18 October 2026
- L1-3Spartak Trnava11 October 2026
Dunajska Streda
Super Liga
- W3-2FK Košice7 November 2026
- W2-0away to Dukla Banská Bystrica1 November 2026
- W1-0away to FK Košice28 October 2026
- W5-0Ružomberok24 October 2026
- W3-2away to Žilina18 October 2026
What these results say
- Podbrezová conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Podbrezová scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Podbrezová had three goals or more.
- Dunajska Streda won every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Podbrezová | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 20 |
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 9 | +33 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Podbrezová
Chance to finish in the top six · 85% today
Dunajska Streda
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 98% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Podbrezová vs Dunajska Streda
- 22 August 2026Dunajska Streda 5–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 18 April 2026Podbrezová 1–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 8 March 2026Dunajska Streda 2–1 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 13 December 2025Podbrezová 0–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 14 September 2025Dunajska Streda 2–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 23 May 2025Dunajska Streda 3–2 PodbrezováSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Podbrezová and Dunajska Streda
Podbrezová
GoalsAssists
- B. Mrvaljević40
- M. Chrien40
- R. Šiler30
Dunajska Streda
GoalsAssists
- Ammar Ramadan42
- K. Nemanič21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Podbrezová a 0% chance of the title and Dunajska Streda 97.8%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dunajska Streda the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.16 expected goals for Podbrezová against 1.94 for Dunajska Streda. Podbrezová's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.77 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.91/1.06 for Dunajska Streda.
How the model reaches 51% for Dunajska Streda to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dunajska Streda to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Podbrezová's ratings add 11 points and Dunajska Streda's ratings add 11 points, which lands on the published 51%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Podbrezová's ratings40%+11
- Dunajska Streda's ratings51%+11
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Podbrezová at home · Dunajska Streda away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Podbrezová 14, Dunajska Streda 14.
Podbrezová score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Dunajska Streda have let in 1 there.
Dunajska Streda score most often in the 61–75 minute window (10 goals); Podbrezová have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Podbrezová
- at FK Košice6 Dec · Super Ligawin 27%
- vs Žilina12 Dec · Super Ligawin 40%
- at Komárno6 Feb · Super Ligawin 34%
- vs Skalica13 Feb · Super Ligawin 57%
Dunajska Streda
- vs Skalica6 Dec · Super Ligawin 77%
- at Slovan Bratislava13 Dec · Super Ligawin 35%
- vs AS Trencin6 Feb · Super Ligawin 79%
- at Spartak Trnava13 Feb · Super Ligawin 43%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.