Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Sofia 1-1 Septemvri Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Slavia Sofia, 24% draw, 16% Septemvri Sofia — fair odds of 1.67, 4.17 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Sofia at 60% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Line-ups
- 99I. AndonovG
- 87DiegoD
- 4N. SavicD
- 5D. MalembanaD
- 20J. SemedoD
- 71K. Stoyanov
- 11M. DossoM
- 77E. StoevM
- 7R. RaychevM
- 27U. BaldeM
- 88V. NikolovF
- 1G. PetkovG
- 3M. Georgiev
- 6B. TodorovM
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 17V. KazaldzhievF
- 19E. GogevF
- 16M. LazarovD
- 23I. AntonovF
- 12Ivanov VladimirG
- 13K. OnasciD
- 4M. HristovD
- 8B. PenchevD
- 3S. WadeD
- 5Y. BaurenskiM
- 6P. FerreiraM
- 11A. DzhamovF
- 33G. IvanovM
- 29F. HerardF
- 27A. LiberalF
- 7E. RibeiroF
- 15P. GospodinovD
- 16V. MihaylovM
- 17N. FontaineM
- 19Pedro IgorM
- 20B. TomovskiD
- 21N. KrastevG
- 24Z. A. AtanasovM
- 26V. OzornwaforD
Form going into Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
- D1-1away to Ludogorets22 August 2026
- W3-0away to Botev Vratsa10 August 2026
- D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia31 July 2026
- L0-1away to Arda Kardzhali24 July 2026
- D0-0CSKA Sofia20 July 2026
Septemvri Sofia
- W1-0CSKA 194823 August 2026
What these results say
- Slavia Sofia failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slavia Sofia had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
- 28 August 2026Slavia Sofia 1–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 4 July 2026Septemvri Sofia 2–3 Slavia SofiaFriendlies Clubs
- 6 May 2026Slavia Sofia 2–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 10 April 2026Slavia Sofia 1–2 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
- 1 November 2025Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 6 May 2025Septemvri Sofia 3–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.