Slavia Praha vs Lens UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Praha 2-3 Lens.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Slavia Praha, 28% draw, 30% Lens — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Slavia Praha vs Lens
Slavia Praha
- W4-0Zbrojovka Brno5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Sparta Praha30 August 2026
- D2-2Bohemians 190522 August 2026
- D1-1away to Slovan Liberec16 August 2026
- W2-1Pardubice9 August 2026
Lens
- L0-1Lorient5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Strasbourg29 August 2026
- W5-2Auxerre22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table