9 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Ilves vs Mariehamn Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Tammela Stadium, Tampere
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn.

Before kick-off the model made it 95% Ilves, 4% draw, 1% Mariehamn — fair odds of 1.05, 25.00 and 100.00.

Most likely scoreline: 4-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ilves at 95%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ilves99%Draw1%Mariehamn0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

24'
Foster Gyamfi
⚽T. Hytonenassist: J. Kanga
25'
⚽J. Kanga (pen)
45'
🔁J. Kiloout: O. Multala
46'
🔁K. Walliusout: S. Baranov
46'
57'
Noah Nurmi
🔁T. Hytonenout: G. Bamba
57'
Oskari Multala
60'
61'
🔁A. Bergvikout: M. Hyvonen
61'
🔁T. Jakobsenout: A. Larsson
🔁J. Kangaout: E. Tamminen
70'
🔁A. Popovitchout: Y. Sacko
70'
77'
🔁A. Stroudout: A. Huttunen
77'
🔁R. Monteiroout: W. Nunez
85'
Emmanuel Patut
90+3'
🔁E. Patutout: V. Widlund

Line-ups

Ilves 3-4-2-1
  • 12F. KrkalicG
  • 24V. KumpuD
  • 5S. VaisanenD
  • 3M. RaleD
  • 4O. Pettersson
  • 6Y. RaapD
  • 14A. PopovitchM
  • 13K. WalliusM
  • 30J. KangaM
  • 28J. KiloM
  • 9T. HytonenF
Substitutes
  • 1O. VirtanenG
  • 10R. RiskiF
  • 16T. MiettunenD
  • 22O. MultalaM
  • 19G. BambaD
  • 45E. TamminenF
  • 15L. Ala-MyllymakiM
  • 17S. BaranovM
  • 33Y. Sacko
Coach: Joni Lehtonen
Mariehamn 4-2-3-1
  • 1K. LundG
  • 4L. RichtnerD
  • 2N. NurmiD
  • 19F. GyamfiD
  • 3A. SoiniemiD
  • 11J. SvedbergM
  • 20E. PatutM
  • 22R. MonteiroM
  • 14A. BergvikM
  • 18A. StroudM
  • 15T. Jakobsen
Substitutes
  • 32M. RiikonenG
  • 8J. HeydenM
  • 64M. HyvonenM
  • 43L. AnderssonF
  • 16A. HuttunenM
  • 7A. LarssonF
  • 5T. KoivistoD
  • 9W. NunezF
  • 23V. WidlundD
Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo

Form going into Ilves vs Mariehamn

Ilves

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to HNK Rijeka6 August 2026
  • W1-0Stjarnan30 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Stjarnan23 July 2026

Mariehamn

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Ilves vs Mariehamn

  • 18 April 2026Mariehamn 2–2 IlvesFinnish Premier League
  • 31 August 2025Ilves 2–1 MariehamnFinnish Premier League
  • 27 April 2025Mariehamn 3–2 IlvesFinnish Premier League
  • 11 August 2024Ilves 2–0 MariehamnFinnish Premier League

Leading scorers: Ilves and Mariehamn

Ilves

GoalsAssists

  • T. Hytönen91
  • J. Kanga43
  • E. Tamminen42

Mariehamn

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.