Gnistan

Gnistan sit 4th in the Veikkausliiga on 41 points from 25 matches, having scored 40 and conceded 32. On the model's scale they rate 0.61 in attack and 2.05 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Veikkausliiga averages of 0.56 and 1.71: about average in attack, below it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins and 3 draws, most recently drawing with HJK Helsinki 1-1 at home. That is 1.64 points a match, scoring 1.60 and conceding 1.28 per game across 11 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats. That leaves them 7 points behind KuPS at the top, in a table of 6. Among the 6 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 6th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Inter Turku in the Veikkausliiga on 7 October 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.

Model rating

How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.

Next match: Gnistan vs Inter Turku

Gnistan host Inter Turku at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki on 7 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 30% Gnistan, 28% draw and 42% Inter Turku, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.23 expected goals for Gnistan against 1.68. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Full preview and model analysis for Gnistan vs Inter Turku

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