Regular Season - 8 · 13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Silkeborg vs Viborg Superliga prediction & result

Jysk Park, Silkeborg
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Silkeborg 1-1 Viborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Silkeborg, 29% draw, 34% Viborg — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Silkeborg 1.45, Viborg 1.32.

Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.

Model confidence: Low.

Published · updated

Model insights: Silkeborg vs Viborg

57%
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%2-1 9%1-0 9%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Silkeborg at 37% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Silkeborg5%Draw91%Viborg4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen
⚽Lucas Thorst Riisgaardassist: Villads Westh
11'
45'
🔁Charly Ngos Nouck Hornemanout: Lasso Coulibaly
56'
⚽Asker Beckassist: Sami Jalal Karchoud
63'
🔁Hjalte Bidstrupout: Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
🔁Oliver Rossout: Kristian Bloch Bøgild
71'
78'
🔁Mads Søndergaard Clausenout: Ruben Kristensen Alte
78'
🔁Sami Jalal Karchoudout: Philip Keller
🔁William Kirkout: Maël Durand de Gevigney
81'
🔁William Møllerout: Sofus Berger
81'
88'
🔁Dorian Hanzaout: Roald Mitchell
🔁Rami Hajalout: Malthe Emil Søgaard Hansen
89'
Villads Westh
90+2'

Match stats — Silkeborg vs Viborg

54%Possession46%
13Shots9
5On target4
4Corners6

Line-ups

Silkeborg 3-4-2-1
  • 1A. AndrésenG
  • 24A. MadsenD
  • 3R. ØstrømD
  • 29W. MollerD
  • 7V. WesthM
  • 20M. LarsenM
  • 27W. KirkM
  • 19J. GammelbyM
  • 21L. RiisgaardM
  • 22R. Al HajjM
  • 11O. RossF
Substitutes
  • 30T. MikkelsenG
  • 33M. FreundlichM
  • 4Pedro GanchasD
  • 2A. PoulsenD
  • 23M. HansenF
  • 36J. NielsenM
  • 6M. de GevigneyD
  • 42Kristian Bloch BøgildF
  • 14S. BergerM
Coach: M. Dahm Kjaergaard
Viborg 4-3-3
  • 20K. KiilerichG
  • 26Hjalte BidstrupD
  • 4L. KirkegaardD
  • 5Ž. ZaletelD
  • 23O. BundgaardD
  • 8A. BeckM
  • 13J. GrønningM
  • 6M. SøndergaardM
  • 10S. JalalF
  • 19Dorian HanzaF
  • 11C. NouckF
Substitutes
  • 33Frederik DamkjerM
  • 28L. CoulibalyM
  • 18R. AlteM
  • 3Valgeir Lunddal FridrikssonD
  • 29Roald MitchellF
  • 1L. LundG
  • 41Andreas SøndergaardD
  • 34Philip KellerM
  • 25GiulioF
Coach: Nickolai Lund

Form going into Silkeborg vs Viborg

Silkeborg

  • D2-2away to Aarhus5 September 2026
  • D1-1FC Midtjylland30 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Brondby24 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland16 August 2026

Viborg

  • L0-2Lyngby4 September 2026
  • W3-2away to AC Horsens28 August 2026
  • W4-0FC Copenhagen23 August 2026
  • W2-1Aarhus14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Silkeborg8143812-47
4Viborg8422117+414

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs Viborg

  • 8 February 2026Silkeborg 0–1 ViborgSuperliga
  • 17 August 2025Viborg 2–3 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 24 May 2025Silkeborg 1–2 ViborgSuperliga
  • 13 April 2025Viborg 2–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 24 February 2025Viborg 1–4 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 4 August 2024Silkeborg 3–2 ViborgSuperliga

Leading scorers: Silkeborg and Viborg

Silkeborg

  • C. McCowatt2 goals2 assists
  • O. Ross2 goals1 assists

Viborg

  • A. Beck3 goals
  • M. Søndergaard2 goals2 assists
  • C. Nouck2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.45 goals for Silkeborg and 1.32 for Viborg; the game produced 1 and 1.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Lucas Thorst Riisgaard 11' (Silkeborg), Asker Beck 56' (Viborg).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Silkeborg the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.45 expected goals for Silkeborg against 1.32 for Viborg. Silkeborg's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.54 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.33 for Viborg.