13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Lyngby vs Sonderjyske Superliga prediction & result

Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Lyngby 1-1 Sonderjyske.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Lyngby, 24% draw, 21% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lyngby at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lyngby7%Draw90%Sonderjyske3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Simon Colynassist: Isak Thorvaldsson
6'
56'
Maxime Soulas
60'
🔁Dalton Wilkinsout: Ismaïl Seydi
60'
🔁Andreas Oggesenout: Jacob Christensen
🔁Jens Thomasenout: Mathias Hebo Rasmussen
63'
🔁Oliver Højerout: Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji
63'
Isak Thorvaldsson
66'
75'
⚽Ismaïl Seydiassist: Jacob Christensen
78'
🔁Rasmus Vinderslevout: Sefer Emini
78'
🔁Anders Raffnsøe Hoegout: Lirim Qamili
🔁Renzo Tytensout: Daniel Kristjansson
88'
🔁Isak Thorvaldssonout: Frederik Gytkjær
88'
89'
🔁Mohamed Cherifout: Matthew Hoppe

Match stats — Lyngby vs Sonderjyske

57%Possession43%
19Shots18
4On target3
6Corners6

Line-ups

Lyngby 4-4-2
  • 31D. KochenG
  • 2O. BuurD
  • 30M. FischerD
  • 24M. GaranangaD
  • 25R. TytensD
  • 19G. FrauloM
  • 14L. SandgravM
  • 18J. ThomasenM
  • 5Oliver HøjerM
  • 10Í. ÞorvaldssonF
  • 7S. ColynF
Substitutes
  • 16Z. SertdemirM
  • 1J. ÆgidiusG
  • 22S. NgaboM
  • 26F. GytkjærF
  • 6D. KristjánssonD
  • 8M. HeboM
  • 12David Helgi AronssonD
  • 35M. AndersonF
  • 4C. AllenD
Coach: Mikkel Jespersen
Sonderjyske 4-2-3-1
  • 24N. ShintonG
  • 3A. MunksgaardD
  • 12M. SoulasD
  • 19P. KristensenD
  • 23E. DuruD
  • 6R. VinderslevM
  • 22A. OggesenM
  • 13D. WilkinsM
  • 8M. HaidaraM
  • 17A. HoegM
  • 11O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
  • 33J. ChristensenM
  • 7S. EminiM
  • 1N. FløG
  • 14T. HaltvikM
  • 9M. HoppeF
  • 15L. QamiliF
  • 31I. SeydiF
  • 26B. TambedouF
  • 30G. WagnerD
Coach: Fatah Abdirahman

Form going into Lyngby vs Sonderjyske

Lyngby

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Viborg4 September 2026
  • D1-1Odense30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to AC Horsens23 August 2026
  • D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Randers FC9 August 2026

Sonderjyske

All competitions we cover

  • L2-5AC Horsens6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to FC Copenhagen31 August 2026
  • L0-3FC Nordsjaelland23 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Brondby17 August 2026
  • D0-0Viborg7 August 2026

What these results say

  • Lyngby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Lyngby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Lyngby conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Sonderjyske did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Sonderjyske conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Sonderjyske had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Lyngby121561727-108
12Sonderjyske122281729-128

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Sonderjyske

  • 18 May 2025Sonderjyske 5–1 LyngbySuperliga
  • 17 April 2025Lyngby 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 1 December 2024Lyngby 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 26 July 2024Sonderjyske 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
  • 17 May 2021Sonderjyske 2–0 LyngbySuperliga

Leading scorers: Lyngby and Sonderjyske

Lyngby

GoalsAssists

  • S. Colyn52
  • Í. Þorvaldsson32

Sonderjyske

GoalsAssists

  • M. Haidara50
  • O. De Rosario32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lyngby and Sonderjyske drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lyngby at 55% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Simon Colyn 6' for Lyngby, Ismaïl Seydi 75' for Sonderjyske.

How the call on Lyngby v Sonderjyske has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 55% / 24% / 21%: the biggest move is Lyngby's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Lyngby win55%▲ +7
  2. Draw24%▼ −3
  3. Sonderjyske win21%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.