Regular Season - 8 · 13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Lyngby vs Sonderjyske Superliga prediction & result

Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Lyngby 1-1 Sonderjyske.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Lyngby, 26% draw, 24% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Lyngby 2.07, Sonderjyske 1.08.

Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.

Model confidence: High.

Published · updated

Model insights: Lyngby vs Sonderjyske

58%
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 10%2-1 10%2-0 9%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lyngby at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lyngby7%Draw90%Sonderjyske3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Simon Colynassist: Isak Thorvaldsson
6'
56'
Maxime Soulas
60'
🔁Dalton Wilkinsout: Ismaïl Seydi
60'
🔁Andreas Oggesenout: Jacob Christensen
🔁Jens Thomasenout: Mathias Hebo Rasmussen
63'
🔁Oliver Højerout: Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji
63'
Isak Thorvaldsson
66'
75'
⚽Ismaïl Seydiassist: Jacob Christensen
78'
🔁Rasmus Vinderslevout: Sefer Emini
78'
🔁Anders Raffnsøe Hoegout: Lirim Qamili
🔁Renzo Tytensout: Daniel Kristjansson
88'
🔁Isak Thorvaldssonout: Frederik Gytkjær
88'
89'
🔁Mohamed Cherifout: Matthew Hoppe

Match stats — Lyngby vs Sonderjyske

57%Possession43%
19Shots18
4On target3
6Corners6

Line-ups

Lyngby 4-4-2
  • 31D. KochenG
  • 2O. BuurD
  • 30M. FischerD
  • 24M. GaranangaD
  • 25R. TytensD
  • 19G. FrauloM
  • 14L. SandgravM
  • 18J. ThomasenM
  • 5Oliver HøjerM
  • 10Í. ÞorvaldssonF
  • 7S. ColynF
Substitutes
  • 16Z. SertdemirM
  • 1J. ÆgidiusG
  • 22S. NgaboM
  • 26F. GytkjærF
  • 6D. KristjánssonD
  • 8M. HeboM
  • 12David Helgi AronssonD
  • 35M. AndersonF
  • 4C. AllenD
Coach: Mikkel Jespersen
Sonderjyske 4-2-3-1
  • 24N. ShintonG
  • 3A. MunksgaardD
  • 12M. SoulasD
  • 19P. KristensenD
  • 23E. DuruD
  • 6R. VinderslevM
  • 22A. OggesenM
  • 13D. WilkinsM
  • 8M. HaidaraM
  • 17A. HoegM
  • 11O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
  • 33J. ChristensenM
  • 7S. EminiM
  • 1N. FløG
  • 14T. HaltvikM
  • 9M. HoppeF
  • 15L. QamiliF
  • 31I. SeydiF
  • 26B. TambedouF
  • 30G. WagnerD
Coach: Fatah Abdirahman

Form going into Lyngby vs Sonderjyske

Lyngby

  • W2-0away to Viborg4 September 2026
  • D1-1Odense30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to AC Horsens23 August 2026
  • D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026

Sonderjyske

  • L2-5AC Horsens6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to FC Copenhagen31 August 2026
  • L0-3FC Nordsjaelland23 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Brondby17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Lyngby81431012-27
12Sonderjyske8026819-112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Sonderjyske

  • 18 May 2025Sonderjyske 5–1 LyngbySuperliga
  • 17 April 2025Lyngby 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 1 December 2024Lyngby 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 26 July 2024Sonderjyske 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
  • 17 May 2021Sonderjyske 2–0 LyngbySuperliga
  • 21 April 2021Lyngby 0–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga

Leading scorers: Lyngby and Sonderjyske

Lyngby

  • Í. Þorvaldsson3 goals2 assists
  • S. Colyn3 goals1 assists

Sonderjyske

  • M. Haidara3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 2.07 goals for Lyngby and 1.08 for Sonderjyske; the game produced 1 and 1.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Simon Colyn 6' (Lyngby), Ismaïl Seydi 75' (Sonderjyske).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Lyngby the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.07 expected goals for Lyngby against 1.08 for Sonderjyske. Lyngby's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.77 for Sonderjyske.