14 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Midtjylland vs Brondby Superliga prediction & result

MCH Arena, Herning
Full time4 – 1

Final score: FC Midtjylland 4-1 Brondby.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% FC Midtjylland, 27% draw, 21% Brondby — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Midtjylland at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Midtjylland99%Draw1%Brondby0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Rasmus Kristensen
1'
•Friday Etim
22'
⚽Stanley Iheanachoassist: Cho Gue-sung
23'
•Stanley Iheanacho
24'
🔁David Martínezout: Beni Junior
37'
45'
🔁Oskar Fengerout: Marcus Younis
45'
🔁Filip Bundgaard Kristensenout: Olti Hyseni
🔁Kjell-Arik Wätjenout: Denil Castillo
53'
64'
🔁Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsenout: Christopher Olivier
Stanley Iheanacho
67'
69'
⚽Max Isaac Ejdumassist: Mads Frokjaer-Jensen
73'
Max Isaac Ejdum
74'
🔁Jordi Vanlerbergheout: Raphael Canut
⚽Cho Gue-sung
74'
76'
Raphael Canut
81'
🔁Sho Fukudaout: Casper Winther
🔁Stanley Iheanachoout: Mileta Rajovic
83'
🔁Friday Etimout: Julius Emefile
83'
⚽Magnus Jensen
89'
89'
Bartosz Ślisz
89'
Bartosz Ślisz

Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs Brondby

46%Possession54%
15Shots13
5On target4
6Corners2

Line-ups

FC Midtjylland 3-4-1-2
  • 1E. ÓlafssonG
  • 5R. KristensenD
  • 3M. JensenD
  • 55V. Bak JensenD
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 29K. WätjenM
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 98D. MartínezM
  • 10Cho Gue-SungM
  • 18S. IheanachoF
  • 90F. EtimF
Substitutes
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 21D. CastilloM
  • 38J. EmefileM
  • 15B. Dje Bi DjeD
  • 34N. A. AzizD
  • 9M. RajovićF
  • 17M. UhreF
  • 42Frederik VestergaardM
  • 27S. JohannesenM
Coach: M. Tullberg
Brondby 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. PentzG
  • 2O. VilladsenD
  • 30J. VanlerbergheD
  • 32F. AlvesD
  • 24M. DivkovićD
  • 99B. SliszM
  • 18M. EjdumM
  • 11F. BundgaardM
  • 29M. Frøkjær-JensenM
  • 19S. FukudaM
  • 51O. FengerF
Substitutes
  • 10D. WassM
  • 3Christopher OlivierD
  • 9P. MortensenF
  • 50W. Sonne SchmidG
  • 27M. KöhlertD
  • 15C. WintherM
  • 7O. HyseniF
  • 37R. CanutD
  • 21M. YounisF
Coach: Thomas Nörgaard

Form going into FC Midtjylland vs Brondby

FC Midtjylland

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2FC Nordsjaelland7 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Aarhus2 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Silkeborg30 August 2026
  • W4-1away to HNK Rijeka27 August 2026
  • W1-0Randers FC23 August 2026

Brondby

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3Randers FC6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to FC Nordsjaelland30 August 2026
  • W3-1Silkeborg24 August 2026
  • W3-2Sonderjyske17 August 2026
  • W2-0away to AC Horsens9 August 2026

What these results say

  • FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Brondby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Brondby conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Midtjylland128402413+1128
5Brondby126152120+119

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs Brondby

  • 17 May 2026FC Midtjylland 2–3 BrondbySuperliga
  • 12 April 2026Brondby 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 1 March 2026FC Midtjylland 0–0 BrondbySuperliga
  • 31 August 2025Brondby 1–3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 19 May 2025Brondby 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga

Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and Brondby

FC Midtjylland

GoalsAssists

  • F. Etim63

Brondby

GoalsAssists

  • O. Hyseni43
  • M. Frøkjær-Jensen41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Midtjylland beat Brondby 4–1. The model had made a win for FC Midtjylland its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Rasmus Kristensen 1' for FC Midtjylland, Stanley Iheanacho 23' for FC Midtjylland, Max Isaac Ejdum 69' for Brondby, Cho Gue-sung 74' for FC Midtjylland, Magnus Jensen 89' for FC Midtjylland. Sent off: Bartosz Ślisz (Brondby) 89'.

How the call on FC Midtjylland v Brondby has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 52% / 27% / 21%: the biggest move is FC Midtjylland's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. FC Midtjylland win52%▲ +7
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Brondby win21%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.