Regular Season - 8 · 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Randers FC vs Odense Superliga prediction & result

Cepheus Park, Randers
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Randers FC 1-2 Odense.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Randers FC, 27% draw, 25% Odense — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Randers FC 1.99, Odense 1.11.

Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Published · updated

Model insights: Randers FC vs Odense

59%
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 10%2-1 10%2-0 9%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Randers FC at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Randers FC0%Draw6%Odense94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
⚽Topi Keskinen
🔁Mike Themsenout: John Bjorkengren
21'
23'
•Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen
45'
🔁Julian Andreas Pauliout: Ulrik Jenssen
⚽Laurits Pedersenassist: Elies Mahmoud
50'
Martin André Sjølstad
54'
🔁Martin André Sjølstadout: Mohamed Sankoh
59'
62'
🔁Jann-Fiete Arpout: Anssi Suhonen
62'
🔁Christian Gammelgaardout: Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
Nikolai Soyset Hopland
75'
77'
⚽Alexander Ahl Holmstromassist: Topi Keskinen
🔁Kasper Junkerout: Hector Lux
78'
🔁John Bjorkengrenout: Amady Camara
78'
85'
🔁Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersenout: Mikkel Rakneberg
89'
🔁Topi Keskinenout: James Gomez
90'
Ulrik Jenssen
Nikolai Soyset Hopland
90+2'

Match stats — Randers FC vs Odense

45%Possession55%
11Shots19
2On target5
3Corners11

Line-ups

Randers FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. IzzoG
  • 24S. HansenD
  • 3D. HøeghD
  • 27N. HoplandD
  • 44N. DyhrD
  • 8L. PedersenM
  • 17M. GreveM
  • 7M. ThemsenM
  • 11E. MahmoudM
  • 15M. SjølstadM
  • 77K. JunkerF
Substitutes
  • 10W. CaddyF
  • 32J. StorchG
  • 6J. BjörkengrenM
  • 36A. CamaraF
  • 29S. StukerD
  • 26H. HoyrupM
  • 5O. JonesD
  • 30M. SankohF
  • 25O. SeckM
Coach: R. Bertelsen
Odense 4-2-3-1
  • 16V. MyhraG
  • 15M. McCoyD
  • 4Julian Andreas PauliD
  • 13J. Berthel AskouD
  • 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenD
  • 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
  • 8R. FalkM
  • 7J. ArpM
  • 14C. GammelgaardM
  • 9T. KeskinenM
  • 17N. GanausF
Substitutes
  • 18A. Ahl-HolmströmF
  • 21V. FriisM
  • 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
  • 44Noah Glibstrup ManataM
  • 29J. GomezD
  • 1M. HansenG
  • 24M. RaknebergD
  • 10A. SuhonenM
  • 3A. SørensenD
Coach: T. Thomasberg

Form going into Randers FC vs Odense

Randers FC

  • W3-0away to Brondby6 September 2026
  • W2-1Aarhus30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Midtjylland23 August 2026
  • L0-4FC Copenhagen16 August 2026

Odense

  • L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
  • L1-2AC Horsens16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Randers FC8314910-110
8Odense8224713-68

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Odense

  • 11 May 2026Randers FC 2–2 OdenseSuperliga
  • 19 April 2026Odense 3–1 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 24 November 2025Randers FC 0–0 OdenseSuperliga
  • 11 August 2025Odense 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 19 May 2024Odense 2–0 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 19 April 2024Randers FC 2–2 OdenseSuperliga

Leading scorers: Randers FC and Odense

Randers FC

  • M. Themsen3 goals1 assists
  • E. Mahmoud2 goals1 assists

Odense

No player in Superliga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.99 goals for Randers FC and 1.11 for Odense; the game produced 1 and 2.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Topi Keskinen 20' (Odense), Laurits Pedersen 50' (Randers FC), Alexander Ahl Holmstrom 77' (Odense).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Randers FC the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.99 expected goals for Randers FC against 1.11 for Odense. Randers FC's attack/defence rating is 0.73/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.68 for Odense.