13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Randers FC vs Odense Superliga prediction & result

Cepheus Park, Randers
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Randers FC 1-2 Odense.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Randers FC, 27% draw, 24% Odense — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Randers FC at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Randers FC0%Draw6%Odense94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
⚽Topi Keskinen
🔁Mike Themsenout: John Bjorkengren
21'
23'
•Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen
45'
🔁Julian Andreas Pauliout: Ulrik Jenssen
⚽Laurits Pedersenassist: Elies Mahmoud
50'
Martin André Sjølstad
54'
🔁Martin André Sjølstadout: Mohamed Sankoh
59'
62'
🔁Jann-Fiete Arpout: Anssi Suhonen
62'
🔁Christian Gammelgaardout: Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
Nikolai Soyset Hopland
75'
77'
⚽Alexander Ahl Holmstromassist: Topi Keskinen
🔁Kasper Junkerout: Hector Lux
78'
🔁John Bjorkengrenout: Amady Camara
78'
85'
🔁Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersenout: Mikkel Rakneberg
89'
🔁Topi Keskinenout: James Gomez
90'
Ulrik Jenssen
Nikolai Soyset Hopland
90+2'

Match stats — Randers FC vs Odense

45%Possession55%
11Shots19
2On target5
3Corners11

Line-ups

Randers FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. IzzoG
  • 24S. HansenD
  • 3D. HøeghD
  • 27N. HoplandD
  • 44N. DyhrD
  • 8L. PedersenM
  • 17M. GreveM
  • 7M. ThemsenM
  • 11E. MahmoudM
  • 15M. SjølstadM
  • 77K. JunkerF
Substitutes
  • 10W. CaddyF
  • 32J. StorchG
  • 6J. BjörkengrenM
  • 36A. CamaraF
  • 29S. StukerD
  • 26H. HoyrupM
  • 5O. JonesD
  • 30M. SankohF
  • 25O. SeckM
Coach: R. Bertelsen
Odense 4-2-3-1
  • 16V. MyhraG
  • 15M. McCoyD
  • 4Julian Andreas PauliD
  • 13J. Berthel AskouD
  • 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenD
  • 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
  • 8R. FalkM
  • 7J. ArpM
  • 14C. GammelgaardM
  • 9T. KeskinenM
  • 17N. GanausF
Substitutes
  • 18A. Ahl-HolmströmF
  • 21V. FriisM
  • 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
  • 44Noah Glibstrup ManataM
  • 29J. GomezD
  • 1M. HansenG
  • 24M. RaknebergD
  • 10A. SuhonenM
  • 3A. SørensenD
Coach: T. Thomasberg

Form going into Randers FC vs Odense

Randers FC

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to Brondby6 September 2026
  • W2-1Aarhus30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Midtjylland23 August 2026
  • L0-4FC Copenhagen16 August 2026
  • W2-0Lyngby9 August 2026

Odense

All competitions we cover

  • L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
  • L1-2AC Horsens16 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Silkeborg10 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Randers FC123271219-711
7Odense123541116-514

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Odense

  • 11 May 2026Randers FC 2–2 OdenseSuperliga
  • 19 April 2026Odense 3–1 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 24 November 2025Randers FC 0–0 OdenseSuperliga
  • 11 August 2025Odense 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 19 May 2024Odense 2–0 Randers FCSuperliga

Leading scorers: Randers FC and Odense

Randers FC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Themsen41

Odense

GoalsAssists

  • N. Ganaus40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Odense won 2–1 at Randers FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Randers FC at 49% and given a win for Odense 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Topi Keskinen 20' for Odense, Laurits Pedersen 50' for Randers FC, Alexander Ahl Holmstrom 77' for Odense. Sent off: Nikolai Soyset Hopland (Randers FC) 90+2'.

How the call on Randers FC v Odense has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 27% / 24%: the biggest move is Randers FC's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Randers FC win49%▲ +9
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Odense win24%▼ −7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.