Silkeborg
vs
AC Horsens
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Silkeborg 1–2 AC Horsens
The model makes it 36% Silkeborg, 26% draw, 38% AC Horsens — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Silkeborg 1.78, AC Horsens 1.85.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Silkeborg and AC Horsens are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AC Horsens at 38% here. Across 2888 settled matches, 2241 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Silkeborg vs AC Horsens
Silkeborg
- W4-0away to Lyngby18 September 2026
- D1-1Viborg13 September 2026
- D2-2away to Aarhus5 September 2026
- D1-1FC Midtjylland30 August 2026
- L1-3away to Brondby24 August 2026
AC Horsens
- D2-2Aarhus20 September 2026
- L0-2away to FC Copenhagen11 September 2026
- W5-2away to Sonderjyske6 September 2026
- L2-3Viborg28 August 2026
- W2-1Lyngby23 August 2026
What these results say
- Silkeborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Silkeborg failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Silkeborg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- AC Horsens conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- AC Horsens scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for AC Horsens had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Silkeborg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens
- 19 May 2023AC Horsens 0–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 11 April 2023Silkeborg 1–2 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 23 October 2022AC Horsens 3–2 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 2 October 2022Silkeborg 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 23 September 2021AC Horsens 3–2 SilkeborgDBU Pokalen
- 2 July 2021AC Horsens 0–0 SilkeborgFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Silkeborg and AC Horsens
Silkeborg
- O. Ross3 goals1 assists
AC Horsens
- K. Ehibhatiomhan4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Silkeborg carry a model rating of 6.43 against 6.52 for AC Horsens. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.78 goals for Silkeborg and 1.85 for AC Horsens. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Silkeborg rate 0.67 in attack and 1.55 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; AC Horsens rate 0.79 and 1.53.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Silkeborg a 0.1% chance of the title and AC Horsens 0.1%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1344 correct results out of 2888 settled predictions (47%), with 275 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives AC Horsens the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for Silkeborg against 1.85 for AC Horsens. Silkeborg's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.55 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.79/1.53 for AC Horsens.